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Live prediction market odds for Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

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Esteban Ribovics Wins: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics

Resolved 2026-08-16

This market resolved on 2026-08-16. Esteban Ribovics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Edson Barboza vs.

Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics — UFC fight held on 2026-08-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
—100%
Over 0.5 Rounds
—100%
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO: Yes
—100%
Esteban RibovicsWINNER
99%100%
Esteban Ribovics by KO/TKO/DQ
99%—
Esteban Ribovics to win in Round 2
99%—
Under 1.5 Rounds
—99%
Fight to Go the Distance: No
—97%
Barboza to win by KO/TKO: No
—85%
Fight won by submission: No
—85%
Under 2.5 Rounds
—66%
Over 2.5 Rounds
—34%
Edson Barboza to win in Round 2
16%—
Barboza to win by KO/TKO: Yes
—15%
Fight won by submission: Yes
—15%
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes
—3%
Edson Barboza to win in Round 3
2%—
Decision / Draw / No Contest
1%—
Draw/No Contest
1%—
Edson Barboza by Decision
1%—
Edson Barboza by KO/TKO/DQ
1%—
Edson Barboza by Submission
1%—
Edson Barboza to win in Round 1
1%—
Esteban Ribovics by Decision
1%—
Esteban Ribovics by Submission
1%—
Esteban Ribovics to win in Round 1
1%—
Esteban Ribovics to win in Round 3
1%—
Over 1.5 Rounds
—1%
Edson Barboza
1%0%
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
—0%
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO: No
—0%
Under 0.5 Rounds
—0%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Esteban Ribovics

99.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Edson Barboza wins the Barboza vs Ribovics professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Barboza vs Ribovics professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edson Barboza defeats Esteban Ribovics at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics odds?

The last available prices are Esteban Ribovics: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Edson Barboza: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics prediction market payouts work?

For example, Esteban Ribovics at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

No price history available