About This Market
Eric McConico vs.
Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson — UFC fight held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-08-15
This market resolved on 2026-08-15. Donte Johnson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Eric McConico vs.
Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson — UFC fight held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Donte Johnson by KO/TKO/DQ | 99% | — | — | — |
Donte Johnson to win in Round 1 | 99% | — | — | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | 99% | — |
McConico to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 99% | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 99% | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 99% | — |
Johnson to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 97% | — |
Donte JohnsonWINNER | 99% | 76% | 99% | 78% |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | 71% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 64% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 36% | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | 29% | — |
Eric McConico | 1% | 24% | 1% | 24% |
Eric McConico to win in Round 3 | 5% | — | — | — |
Johnson to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 3% | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | 1% | — | — | — |
Donte Johnson by Decision | 1% | — | — | — |
Donte Johnson by Submission | 1% | — | — | — |
Donte Johnson to win in Round 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Donte Johnson to win in Round 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | 1% | — | — | — |
Eric McConico by Decision | 1% | — | — | — |
Eric McConico by KO/TKO/DQ | 1% | — | — | — |
Eric McConico by Submission | 1% | — | — | — |
Eric McConico to win in Round 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Eric McConico to win in Round 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | 1% | — |
McConico to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Donte Johnson
88.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Eric McConico wins the Johnson vs McConico professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Johnson vs McConico professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketEach market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Eric McConico and Donte Johnson at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico UFC fight scheduled for August 15 at 7:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Donte Johnson: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 77.9¢ on ProphetX, 76.0¢ on Polymarket US; Eric McConico: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 24.5¢ on ProphetX, 24.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 23.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Donte Johnson at 88.0¢ implies about a 88.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.