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Live prediction market odds for Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf

2026-09-20

Best price · tap to trade

Gable Steveson93¢1.08xKalshiSean Sharaf8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Gable Steveson about a 46.5% chance. Sean Sharaf follows at 54.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 92.9 percentage points.

Traders give Gable Steveson about a 46.5% chance. Sean Sharaf follows at 54.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 92.9 percentage points.

Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SS
Sean SharafARB
53%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket100¢
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
GS
Gable Steveson
single venue92%
Kalshi93¢
—
Kalshi1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.0%91¢93¢7¢9¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
Sean Sharaf by KO/TKO/DQYes
Gable Steveson by DecisionNo
Sean Sharaf by DecisionNo
Sean Sharaf by SubmissionNo
Draw/No ContestNo
Gable Steveson by KO/TKO/DQNo
Gable Steveson by SubmissionNo
ST
Sharaf to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue99%
Polymarket100¢
Polymarket1.00x100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue98%
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue93%
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%92¢94¢6¢8¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue87%
Polymarket88¢
Polymarket1.14x88¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
87.0%86¢88¢12¢14¢
ST
Steveson to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue75%
Polymarket76¢
Polymarket1.32x76¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
75.0%74¢76¢24¢26¢
ST
Steveson to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue23%
Polymarket24¢
Polymarket4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue11%
Polymarket12¢
Polymarket8.33x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
11.0%10¢12¢88¢90¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue5%
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket16.95x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue1%
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
ST
Sharaf to win by KO/TKO: No
—
Polymarket1000.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

Sean Sharaf to win in Round 1Yes
Decision / Draw / No ContestNo
Sean Sharaf to win in Round 3No
Gable Steveson to win in Round 3No
Sean Sharaf to win in Round 2No
Gable Steveson to win in Round 1No
Gable Steveson to win in Round 2No

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
Under 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket52¢
Polymarket1.92x52¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket9¢
NOPolymarket91¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread92.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Gable Steveson

46.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Gable Steveson wins the Steveson vs Sharaf professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Steveson vs Sharaf professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean Sharaf at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Sean Sharaf" if Sean Sharaf is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf odds?

The latest available prices are Gable Steveson: 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Sean Sharaf: 8.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 92.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf prediction market payouts work?

For example, Gable Steveson at 46.5¢ implies about a 46.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.