About This Market
Gauge Young vs.
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil — UFC fight held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Stan Dorsainvil was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
Gauge Young vs.
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil — UFC fight held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Young to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Dorsainvil to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 96% | — |
Stan DorsainvilWINNER | 99% | 73% | 100% | 39% |
Gauge Young | 1% | 27% | 0% | 65% |
Dorsainvil to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | 0% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Young to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | 100% | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | 100% | — | — | — |
Gauge Young by Decision | 100% | — | — | — |
Gauge Young by KO/TKO/DQ | 100% | — | — | — |
Gauge Young by Submission | 100% | — | — | — |
Gauge Young to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — |
Gauge Young to win in Round 2 | 100% | — | — | — |
Gauge Young to win in Round 3 | 100% | — | — | — |
Stanley Dorsainvil by Decision | 100% | — | — | — |
Stanley Dorsainvil by KO/TKO/DQ | 100% | — | — | — |
Stanley Dorsainvil by Submission | 100% | — | — | — |
Stanley Dorsainvil to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — |
Stanley Dorsainvil to win in Round 2 | 100% | — | — | — |
Stanley Dorsainvil to win in Round 3 | 100% | — | — | — |
Stan Dorsainvil
70.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Stanley Dorsainvil wins the Young vs Dorsainvil professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Young vs Dorsainvil professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Gauge Young defeats Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Gauge Young vs Stan Dorsainvil UFC fight scheduled for August 22 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Stan Dorsainvil: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 38.9¢ on ProphetX, 73.0¢ on Polymarket US; Gauge Young: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 64.8¢ on ProphetX, 27.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 64.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Stan Dorsainvil at 70.6¢ implies about a 70.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.