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Live prediction market odds for Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai

2026-08-15

Best price · tap to trade

Myktybek Orolbai1¢100.00xKalshiJeremiah Wells7¢14.29xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Myktybek Orolbai about a 46.8% chance. Jeremiah Wells follows at 54.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 92.9 percentage points.

Traders give Myktybek Orolbai about a 46.8% chance. Jeremiah Wells follows at 54.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 92.9 percentage points.

Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
JW
Jeremiah WellsARB
53%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX10¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
MO
Myktybek OrolbaiARB
62%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US93¢
—
ProphetX93¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
92.0%91¢93¢7¢9¢
ProphetXProphetX
92.0%91¢93¢7¢9¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JW
Jeremiah Wells by Submission
single venue98%
Kalshi99¢
—
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JW
Jeremiah Wells by Decision
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JW
Jeremiah Wells by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
MO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu by Decision
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
MO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu by Submission
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
MO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue99%
—
Polymarket100¢
Polymarket1.00x100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue98%
—
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
WT
Wells to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue92%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.07x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
92.0%91¢93¢7¢9¢
OT
Orolbai to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue61%
—
Polymarket62¢
Polymarket1.61x62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
61.0%60¢62¢38¢40¢
OT
Orolbai to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue37%
—
Polymarket38¢
Polymarket2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
37.0%36¢38¢62¢64¢
WT
Wells to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue6%
—
Polymarket7¢
Polymarket14.49x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue1%
—
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
—
—
Polymarket1000.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
JW
Jeremiah Wells to win in Round 3
single venue98%
Kalshi99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
MO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu to win in Round 3
single venue16%
Kalshi17¢
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢
MO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu to win in Round 1
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
MO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu to win in Round 2
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JW
Jeremiah Wells to win in Round 1
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JW
Jeremiah Wells to win in Round 2
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket42¢
Polymarket2.38x42¢
Under 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket58¢
Polymarket1.72x58¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket90¢
NOPolymarket10¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread92.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Myktybek Orolbai

46.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jeremiah Wells wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Jeremiah Wells and Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

Who will win the upcoming ufc event, scheduled for August 15 at 7:00PM ET, Jeremiah Wells or Myktybek Orolbai? In the case of a tie or draw, the instrument will settle at $0.50 per instrument. If the event is postponed, delayed, or rescheduled, the settlement date will be amended to the rescheduled date. If the rescheduled date is not within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices. If the event is rescheduled to an earlier date than originally scheduled, the settlement date will be the rescheduled date. If the event is canceled, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices. If the event concludes early, or is shortened or truncated, the outcome shall be the declared official result. If a participant retires after the event has commenced, the outcome shall be the declared official result. In the case of a withdrawal, walkover, forfeit, no-contest, or the removal of a participant before the event commences, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai odds?

The latest available prices are Myktybek Orolbai: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 93.0¢ on ProphetX, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jeremiah Wells: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 10.0¢ on ProphetX, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 92.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai prediction market payouts work?

For example, Myktybek Orolbai at 46.8¢ implies about a 46.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available