Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha

2026-08-08

Best price · tap to trade

Louie Sutherland70¢1.43x

José Montanha37¢2.70x

About This Market

Traders give Louie Sutherland about a 34.9% chance. José Montanha follows at 68.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 69.6 percentage points.

Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-08. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

ProphetX

Best price

José MontanhaARB

37%

100¢

37¢

2.69x37¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	99.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket	—	100¢			0¢
ProphetX	37.2%	37¢	37¢	70¢	70¢

Louie Sutherland

70%

100¢

70¢

1.44x70¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	1.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
ProphetX	69.7%	70¢	70¢	37¢	37¢

Kalshi

Polymarket

ProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price

Jose Montanha Da Silva by Submission

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Jose Montanha Da Silva by Decision

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Draw/No Contest

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Louie Sutherland by Submission

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Jose Montanha Da Silva by KO/TKO/DQ

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Louie Sutherland by Decision

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Louie Sutherland by KO/TKO/DQ

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Fight won by submission: Yes

single venue100%

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	100.0%	100¢	100¢	0¢	0¢

Montanha to win by KO/TKO: No

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	89¢			11¢

Sutherland to win by KO/TKO: No

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	80¢			20¢

Fight won by KO/TKO: No

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	80¢			20¢

Sutherland to win by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue

20¢

5.00x20¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	0¢	20¢	80¢	100¢

Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue

20¢

5.00x20¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	0¢	20¢	80¢	100¢

Montanha to win by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue

11¢

9.09x11¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	0¢	11¢	89¢	100¢

Fight won by submission: No

single venue

1000.00x0¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	0¢		100¢	100¢

Kalshi

Polymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Jose Montanha Da Silva to win in Round 1

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Louie Sutherland to win in Round 1

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Louie Sutherland to win in Round 3

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Louie Sutherland to win in Round 2

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Jose Montanha Da Silva to win in Round 3

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Jose Montanha Da Silva to win in Round 2

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Decision / Draw / No Contest

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Kalshi

Total Rounds

Best price

Over 0.5 Rounds

20¢

5.00x20¢

Under 0.5 Rounds

80¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?

YES

1¢

99¢

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Louie Sutherland wins the Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louie Sutherland defeats José Montanha at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha odds?

The latest available prices are Louie Sutherland: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 69.7¢ on ProphetX; José Montanha: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 37.2¢ on ProphetX. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 69.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha prediction market payouts work?

For example, Louie Sutherland at 34.9¢ implies about a 34.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha

About This Market

Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha

About This Market

Related Markets

Caheer Warik vs. Kael Shalin Shah

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. James Madison Dukes

Nicolas Jadoun vs. S Mert Ozdemir

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers

nour sahnoun vs. Anja Casari

Related Markets

Caheer Warik vs. Kael Shalin Shah

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. James Madison Dukes

Nicolas Jadoun vs. S Mert Ozdemir

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers

nour sahnoun vs. Anja Casari

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Method of Victory

Round of Victory

Total Rounds

Goes the Distance

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha

About This Market

Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha

About This Market

Related Markets

Caheer Warik vs. Kael Shalin Shah

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. James Madison Dukes

Nicolas Jadoun vs. S Mert Ozdemir

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers

nour sahnoun vs. Anja Casari

Related Markets

Caheer Warik vs. Kael Shalin Shah

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. James Madison Dukes

Nicolas Jadoun vs. S Mert Ozdemir

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers

nour sahnoun vs. Anja Casari

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Method of Victory

Round of Victory

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha

Frequently Asked Questions