About This Market
Louie Sutherland vs.
Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha — UFC fight held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Resolved 2026-08-09
This market resolved on 2026-08-09. José Montanha was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Louie Sutherland vs.
Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha — UFC fight held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | 100% |
José MontanhaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | 100% |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | 100% |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | 99% |
Montanha to win by KO/TKO: No | — | 89% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | 80% |
Sutherland to win by KO/TKO: No | — | 80% |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | 80% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | 20% |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | 20% |
Sutherland to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | 20% |
Montanha to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | 11% |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | 1% |
Fight won by submission: No | — | 0% |
Louie Sutherland | 1% | 0% |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | 0% |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — |
José Montanha
99.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Louie Sutherland wins the Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Louie Sutherland defeats José Montanha at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are José Montanha: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Louie Sutherland: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, José Montanha at 99.9¢ implies about a 99.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.