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Live prediction market odds for Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo

2026-09-19

Best price · tap to trade

JooSang Yoo18¢5.56xKalshiMichael Aswell37¢2.70xNovig
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give JooSang Yoo about a 53.7% chance. Michael Aswell follows at 47.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 45.5 percentage points.

Traders give JooSang Yoo about a 53.7% chance. Michael Aswell follows at 47.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 45.5 percentage points.

Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
JY
JooSang YooARB
53%
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket US63¢
Novig64¢
Polymarket61¢
ProphetX63¢
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%16¢18¢82¢84¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
NovigNovig
63.0%62¢64¢36¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
60.0%59¢61¢39¢41¢
ProphetXProphetX
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
MA
Michael AswellARB
46%
Kalshi82¢
Polymarket US37¢
Novig37¢
Polymarket39¢
ProphetX41¢
Novig2.74x37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
81.0%80¢82¢18¢20¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
36.0%35¢37¢63¢65¢
NovigNovig
36.0%35¢37¢63¢65¢
PolymarketPolymarket
38.0%37¢39¢61¢63¢
ProphetXProphetX
40.0%39¢41¢59¢61¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
Michael Aswell by DecisionYes
Joo Sang Yoo by KO/TKO/DQNo
Joo Sang Yoo by DecisionNo
Michael Aswell by KO/TKO/DQNo
Joo Sang Yoo by SubmissionNo
Michael Aswell by SubmissionNo
Draw/No ContestNo
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue93%
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%92¢94¢6¢8¢
AT
Aswell to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue89%
Polymarket90¢
Polymarket1.11x90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
89.0%88¢90¢10¢12¢
YT
Yoo to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue73%
Polymarket74¢
Polymarket1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
73.0%72¢74¢26¢28¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue67%
Polymarket68¢
Polymarket1.47x68¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
67.0%66¢68¢32¢34¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue49%
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.02x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
49.0%48¢50¢50¢52¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue33%
Polymarket34¢
Polymarket2.99x34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
33.0%32¢34¢66¢68¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue31%
Polymarket32¢
Polymarket3.13x32¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
31.0%30¢32¢68¢70¢
YT
Yoo to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue25%
Polymarket26¢
Polymarket3.85x26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
AT
Aswell to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue9%
Polymarket10¢
Polymarket10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue5%
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

Decision / Draw / No ContestYes
Joo Sang Yoo to win in Round 3No
Joo Sang Yoo to win in Round 1No
Joo Sang Yoo to win in Round 2No
Michael Aswell to win in Round 1No
Michael Aswell to win in Round 2No
Michael Aswell to win in Round 3No

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket80¢
Polymarket1.25x80¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket20¢
Polymarket5.00x20¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket90¢
NOPolymarket21¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread45.5%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

JooSang Yoo

53.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Joo Sang Yoo wins the Aswell vs Yoo professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Aswell vs Yoo professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

JooSang Yoo in Michael Aswell @ Joo Sang Yoo (UFC); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Michael Aswell" if Michael Aswell is officially declared the winner of the fight against JooSang Yoo at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "JooSang Yoo" if JooSang Yoo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo UFC fight scheduled for September 19 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo odds?

The latest available prices are JooSang Yoo: 18.0¢ on Kalshi, 61.0¢ on Polymarket, 63.2¢ on ProphetX, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US, 63.5¢ on Novig; Michael Aswell: 81.5¢ on Kalshi, 39.0¢ on Polymarket, 41.5¢ on ProphetX, 37.0¢ on Polymarket US, 36.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 45.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo prediction market payouts work?

For example, JooSang Yoo at 53.7¢ implies about a 53.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.