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Live prediction market odds for Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra

2026-09-19

Best price · tap to trade

Ryan Gandra78¢1.28xPolymarket USOzzy Diaz18¢5.56xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Ryan Gandra about a 80.9% chance. Ozzy Diaz follows at 19.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.2 percentage points.

Traders give Ryan Gandra about a 80.9% chance. Ozzy Diaz follows at 19.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.2 percentage points.

Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
RG
Ryan GandraARB
80%
Kalshi82¢
Polymarket US78¢
Novig81¢
Polymarket81¢
ProphetX83¢
Polymarket US1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
81.0%80¢82¢18¢20¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
NovigNovig
80.0%79¢81¢19¢21¢
PolymarketPolymarket
80.0%79¢81¢19¢21¢
ProphetXProphetX
82.0%81¢83¢17¢19¢
OD
Ozzy Diaz
18%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US18¢
Novig20¢
Polymarket19¢
ProphetX21¢
Polymarket US5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
17.0%16¢18¢82¢84¢
NovigNovig
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
ProphetXProphetX
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
—
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Ryan Gandra by KO/TKO/DQYes
Osman Diaz by KO/TKO/DQNo
Ryan Gandra by SubmissionNo
Ryan Gandra by DecisionNo
Osman Diaz by DecisionNo
Osman Diaz by SubmissionNo
Draw/No ContestNo
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue
—
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—100¢——0¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue
—
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—99¢——1¢
DT
Diaz to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue88%
Polymarket89¢
Polymarket1.12x89¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
88.0%87¢89¢11¢13¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue83%
Polymarket84¢
Polymarket1.19x84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%82¢84¢16¢18¢
GT
Gandra to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue68%
Polymarket69¢
Polymarket1.45x69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
68.0%67¢69¢31¢33¢
GT
Gandra to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue30%
Polymarket31¢
Polymarket3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
30.0%29¢31¢69¢71¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue15%
Polymarket16¢
Polymarket6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
DT
Diaz to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket111.11x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢1¢99¢100¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
—
Polymarket1000.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

Ryan Gandra to win in Round 1Yes
Ryan Gandra to win in Round 2No
Osman Diaz to win in Round 2No
Osman Diaz to win in Round 1No
Osman Diaz to win in Round 3No
Decision / Draw / No ContestNo
Ryan Gandra to win in Round 3No

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket34¢
Polymarket2.94x34¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket66¢
Polymarket1.52x66¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket15¢
NOPolymarket100¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.2%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Ryan Gandra

80.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ryan Gandra wins the Gandra vs Diaz professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Gandra vs Diaz professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Ryan Gandra in Ozzy Diaz @ Ryan Gandra (UFC); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Ozzy Diaz" if Ozzy Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Gandra at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Gandra" if Ryan Gandra is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz UFC fight scheduled for September 19 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra odds?

The latest available prices are Ryan Gandra: 82.0¢ on Kalshi, 81.0¢ on Polymarket, 83.2¢ on ProphetX, 78.0¢ on Polymarket US, 80.5¢ on Novig; Ozzy Diaz: 18.5¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket, 21.4¢ on ProphetX, 18.0¢ on Polymarket US, 19.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra prediction market payouts work?

For example, Ryan Gandra at 80.9¢ implies about a 80.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.