About This Market
Rei Tsuruya vs.
Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas — UFC fight held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Rei Tsuruya was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Rei Tsuruya vs.
Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas — UFC fight held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | 100% | — |
Borjas to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Tsuruya to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Rei TsuruyaWINNER | 99% | 99% | 100% | 88% |
Kevin Borjas | 1% | 14% | 0% | 17% |
Borjas to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | 0% | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Tsuruya to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | 100% | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | 100% | — | — | — |
Kevin Borjas by Decision | 100% | — | — | — |
Kevin Borjas by KO/TKO/DQ | 100% | — | — | — |
Kevin Borjas by Submission | 100% | — | — | — |
Kevin Borjas to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — |
Kevin Borjas to win in Round 2 | 100% | — | — | — |
Kevin Borjas to win in Round 3 | 100% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya by Decision | 100% | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya by KO/TKO/DQ | 100% | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya by Submission | 100% | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya to win in Round 2 | 100% | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya to win in Round 3 | 100% | — | — | — |
Rei Tsuruya
95.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Rei Tsuruya wins the Tsuruya vs Borjas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tsuruya vs Borjas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketEach market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Rei Tsuruya and Kevin Borjas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas UFC fight scheduled for August 29 at 3:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Rei Tsuruya: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 88.3¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Kevin Borjas: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 16.7¢ on ProphetX, 14.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 16.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Rei Tsuruya at 95.7¢ implies about a 95.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.