About This Market
Ronald Humphrey vs.
Ronald Humphrey vs. Alexis Miranda — UFC fight held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Ronald Humphrey vs. Alexis Miranda. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-08-25
This market resolved on 2026-08-25. Ronald Humphrey was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Ronald Humphrey vs.
Ronald Humphrey vs. Alexis Miranda — UFC fight held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | 100% | — |
Humphrey to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Miranda to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | 99% | — |
Ronald HumphreyWINNER | 99% | 99% | 100% | 95% |
Alexis Miranda | 1% | 1% | 0% | 14% |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | 4% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 1% | — |
Miranda to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 1% | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 1% | — |
Humphrey to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | 0% | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 0% | — |
Alexis Miranda by Decision | 100% | — | — | — |
Alexis Miranda by KO/TKO/DQ | 100% | — | — | — |
Alexis Miranda by Submission | 100% | — | — | — |
Alexis Miranda to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — |
Alexis Miranda to win in Round 2 | 100% | — | — | — |
Alexis Miranda to win in Round 3 | 100% | — | — | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | 100% | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | 100% | — | — | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey by Decision | 100% | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey by KO/TKO/DQ | 100% | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey by Submission | 100% | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey to win in Round 2 | 100% | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey to win in Round 3 | 100% | — | — | — |
Ronald Humphrey
98.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Ronald Humphrey wins the Humphrey vs Miranda professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Humphrey vs Miranda professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Ronald Humphrey" if Ronald Humphrey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexis Miranda at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexis Miranda" if Alexis Miranda is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Ronald Humphrey vs Alexis Miranda UFC fight scheduled for August 25, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Ronald Humphrey: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 95.3¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Alexis Miranda: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 13.6¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 13.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Ronald Humphrey at 98.1¢ implies about a 98.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.