About This Market
Tai Tuivasa vs.
Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne: UFC fight held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-09-19
This market resolved on 2026-09-19. Robelis Despaigne was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Tai Tuivasa vs.
Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne: UFC fight held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | — | 91% | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | — | 91% | — |
Despaigne to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Despaigne to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Robelis DespaigneWINNER | 81% | 82% | 81% | 100% | 80% |
Tuivasa to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | — | 71% | — |
Tuivasa to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | 71% | — |
Tai Tuivasa | 20% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 24% |
Fight won by decision: No | — | — | — | 7% | — |
Fight won by decision: Yes | — | — | — | 7% | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | — | — | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne by Decision | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne by KO/TKO/DQ | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne by Submission | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne to win in Round 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne to win in Round 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne to win in Round 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Tai Tuivasa by Decision | — | — | — | — | — |
Tai Tuivasa by KO/TKO/DQ | — | — | — | — | — |
Tai Tuivasa by Submission | — | — | — | — | — |
Tai Tuivasa to win in Round 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Tai Tuivasa to win in Round 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Tai Tuivasa to win in Round 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Robelis Despaigne
84.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Tai Tuivasa wins the Tuivasa vs Despaigne professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tuivasa vs Despaigne professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigTai Tuivasa in Robelis Despaigne @ Tai Tuivasa (UFC); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robelis Despaigne at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Robelis Despaigne" if Robelis Despaigne is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne UFC fight scheduled for September 19 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Robelis Despaigne: 81.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 80.1¢ on ProphetX, 82.0¢ on Polymarket US, 80.5¢ on Novig; Tai Tuivasa: 20.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.0¢ on Polymarket, 24.5¢ on ProphetX, 18.0¢ on Polymarket US, 19.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 19.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Robelis Despaigne at 84.7¢ implies about a 84.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.