The following market refers to the Pagliarulo vs Mulumba professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Pagliarulo defeats Ananias Mulumba at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba UFC fight scheduled for August 11, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba odds?

The latest available prices are Ananias Mulumba: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 70.0¢ on Polymarket, 61.4¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tom Pagliarulo: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 46.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 69.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba prediction market payouts work?

For example, Ananias Mulumba at 33.4¢ implies about a 33.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba

Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba

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Price History

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Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba

Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba

Related Markets

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Idaho State Bengals

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Related Markets

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Idaho State Bengals

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About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba

Frequently Asked Questions