Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes

2026-08-29

Best price · tap to trade

Yan Xiaonan58¢1.72x

Denise Gomes47¢2.13x

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Best price

Denise GomesARB

47%

100¢

47¢

2.14x47¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	99.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket US	—	99¢			1¢
Polymarket	—	100¢			0¢
ProphetX	46.8%	47¢	47¢	63¢	63¢

Yan XiaonanARB

61%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	1.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket US	58.0%	57¢	58¢	42¢	43¢
ProphetX	63.2%	63¢	63¢	47¢	47¢

Kalshi

Polymarket US

Polymarket

ProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price

Denise Gomes by KO/TKO/DQ

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Draw/No Contest

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Denise Gomes by Decision

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Denise Gomes by Submission

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Xiaonan Yan by Decision

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Xiaonan Yan by KO/TKO/DQ

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Xiaonan Yan by Submission

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Fight won by submission: No

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	100¢			0¢

Gomes to win by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	100¢			0¢

Xiaonan to win by KO/TKO: No

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	—	100¢			0¢

Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes

single venue100%

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	100.0%	99¢	100¢	0¢	1¢

Fight won by KO/TKO: No

single venue1%

1¢

125.00x1¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	0.8%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢

Fight won by submission: Yes

1000.00x0¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask

Xiaonan to win by KO/TKO: Yes

1000.00x0¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask

Gomes to win by KO/TKO: No

1000.00x0¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask

Kalshi

Polymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Denise Gomes to win in Round 1

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Denise Gomes to win in Round 3

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Xiaonan Yan to win in Round 2

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Decision / Draw / No Contest

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Denise Gomes to win in Round 2

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Xiaonan Yan to win in Round 1

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Xiaonan Yan to win in Round 3

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	100.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Kalshi

Total Rounds

Best price

Over 2.5 Rounds

0¢

1000.00x0¢

Under 2.5 Rounds

100¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?

YES

0¢

100¢

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Denise Gomes wins the Yan vs Gomes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Yan vs Gomes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yan Xiaonan and Denise Gomes at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes UFC fight scheduled for August 29 at 3:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes odds?

The latest available prices are Yan Xiaonan: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 63.2¢ on ProphetX, 58.0¢ on Polymarket US; Denise Gomes: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 46.8¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 63.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes prediction market payouts work?

For example, Yan Xiaonan at 40.4¢ implies about a 40.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes

Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes

Related Markets

Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda vs. Rodrigo Alujas

Pablo Aunion vs. Nicolas Robert

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida International Panthers

Eibar vs. Albacete

Jensen Diianni vs. Carlota Moreno

Related Markets

Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda vs. Rodrigo Alujas

Pablo Aunion vs. Nicolas Robert

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida International Panthers

Eibar vs. Albacete

Jensen Diianni vs. Carlota Moreno

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Method of Victory

Round of Victory

Total Rounds

Goes the Distance

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes

Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes

Related Markets

Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda vs. Rodrigo Alujas

Pablo Aunion vs. Nicolas Robert

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida International Panthers

Eibar vs. Albacete

Jensen Diianni vs. Carlota Moreno

Related Markets

Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda vs. Rodrigo Alujas

Pablo Aunion vs. Nicolas Robert

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida International Panthers

Eibar vs. Albacete

Jensen Diianni vs. Carlota Moreno

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Method of Victory

Round of Victory

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes

Frequently Asked Questions