About This Market
Yousri Belgaroui vs.
Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos: UFC fight held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-09-12
This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Yousri Belgaroui was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
Yousri Belgaroui vs.
Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos: UFC fight held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 1 | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | — | 91% | — |
Yousri BelgarouiWINNER | 89% | 85% | 90% | 100% | 90% |
Yousri Belgaroui by KO/TKO/DQ | 67% | — | — | — | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | — | 63% | — |
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 2 | 45% | — | — | — | — |
Yousri Belgaroui by Decision | 26% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos | 12% | 15% | 10% | 0% | 15% |
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 3 | 13% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos by KO/TKO/DQ | 8% | — | — | — | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | 8% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos to win in Round 3 | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos to win in Round 1 | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos to win in Round 2 | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos by Decision | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Yousri Belgaroui by Submission | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Djorden Santos by Submission | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Santos to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — | — |
Santos to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — | — |
Yousri Belgaroui
90.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Yousri Belgaroui wins the Belgaroui vs Santos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Belgaroui vs Santos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigYousri Belgaroui in Djorden Santos @ Yousri Belgaroui (UFC); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yousri Belgaroui" if Yousri Belgaroui is officially declared the winner of the fight against Djorden Santos at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Djorden Santos" if Djorden Santos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos UFC fight scheduled for September 12 at 2:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Yousri Belgaroui: 89.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 90.1¢ on ProphetX, 85.0¢ on Polymarket US, 90.0¢ on Novig; Djorden Santos: 12.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 15.2¢ on ProphetX, 15.0¢ on Polymarket US, 10.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Yousri Belgaroui at 90.8¢ implies about a 90.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.