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Live prediction market odds for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Atlanta Dream Wins: Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

WNBA·Resolved 2026-08-22

This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Atlanta Dream was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Atlanta Dream vs.

Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury — WNBA game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Atlanta Dream spread minus 5.5
——100%—
Total under 176.5
——100%—
Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points
99%———
Atlanta wins by over 4.5 points
99%———
Over 163.5 points scored
99%———
Over 166.5 points scored
99%———
Over 169.5 points scored
99%———
Over 172.5 points scored
99%———
Over 178.5 points scored
99%———
Over 181.5 points scored
99%———
Over 184.5 points scored
99%———
Over 187.5 points scored
99%———
Atlanta DreamWINNER
99%99%87%99%
Total over 175.5
99%—79%—
Kelsey Plum Under 2.5 Rebounds
———73%
Angel Reese Under 3.5 Assists
——81%60%
Rhyne Howard Over 18.5 Points
——81%57%
Angel Reese Over 12.5 Rebounds
——81%57%
Allisha Gray Under 19.5 Points
——81%54%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Rebounds
——80%54%
Naz Hillmon Under 8.5 Points
——81%52%
Alyssa Thomas Under 14.5 Points
——81%50%
Kelsey Plum Over 12.5 Points
———65%
Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 Assists
———65%
Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 Points
———65%
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists
——80%49%
Kelsey Plum Under 14.5 Points
———63%
Naz Hillmon Under 5.5 Rebounds
———62%
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Rebounds
——80%43%
Rhyne Howard Under 20.5 Points
———61%
Angel Reese Over 16.5 Points
——80%42%
DeWanna Bonner Over 1.5 Assists
———60%
DeWanna Bonner Under 1.5 Assists
———60%
Kelsey Plum Over 13.5 Points
———60%
Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 Rebounds
———60%
Kelsey Plum Under 1.5 Rebounds
———60%
Jordin Canada Under 11.5 Points
———58%
Sami Whitcomb Under 7.5 Points
———58%
DeWanna Bonner Under 6.5 Rebounds
———57%
Naz Hillmon Under 9.5 Points
——56%57%
DeWanna Bonner Under 11.5 Points
———56%
Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 Assists
——53%58%
Sami Whitcomb Under 8.5 Points
———55%
Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 Rebounds
——53%58%
DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 Points
———55%
Kelsey Plum Over 14.5 Points
———55%
Rhyne Howard Under 19.5 Points
———54%
Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 Points
———54%
Naz Hillmon Over 4.5 Rebounds
——52%55%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Assists
——99%53%
Kahleah Copper Under 20.5 Points
———53%
DeWanna Bonner Under 10.5 Points
———53%
Jordin Canada Under 3.5 Rebounds
——52%53%
Naz Hillmon Over 9.5 Points
——56%48%
Jordin Canada Over 3.5 Rebounds
——50%53%
Madina Okot Over 5.5 Points
———51%
Sami Whitcomb Over 7.5 Points
———51%
Angel Reese Over 2.5 Assists
——37%65%
Jordin Canada Over 10.5 Points
——48%54%
DeWanna Bonner Over 11.5 Points
———50%
Jordin Canada Under 7.5 Assists
——51%50%
Angel Reese Over 15.5 Points
——48%52%
Kelsey Plum Under 12.5 Points
———50%
Allisha Gray Over 2.5 Assists
——49%51%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists
——1%49%
Jordin Canada Over 11.5 Points
———49%
Rhyne Howard Over 19.5 Points
———49%
Angel Reese Under 12.5 Rebounds
——49%50%
Angel Reese Under 15.5 Points
——48%51%
Allisha Gray Under 2.5 Assists
——47%51%
Rhyne Howard Under 3.5 Rebounds
——49%49%
Sami Whitcomb Over 8.5 Points
———49%
Kelsey Plum Over 3.5 Assists
———48%
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 6.5
——48%—
Rhyne Howard Under 3.5 Assists
——48%48%
Naz Hillmon Under 4.5 Rebounds
——49%47%
Angel Reese Over 3.5 Assists
——51%44%
DeWanna Bonner Over 6.5 Rebounds
———47%
Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 Rebounds
———47%
Naz Hillmon Over 5.5 Rebounds
———46%
Kahleah Copper Under 19.5 Points
———46%
Kelsey Plum Under 13.5 Points
———45%
Allisha Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds
——42%48%
Kahleah Copper Under 1.5 Assists
———45%
Rhyne Howard Over 20.5 Points
———45%
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Rebounds
——20%68%
Angel Reese Under 2.5 Assists
——1%44%
Angel Reese Under 16.5 Points
——20%63%
Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 Rebounds
———40%
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Assists
——20%61%
Allisha Gray Under 3.5 Rebounds
——20%60%
Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points
——19%57%
Jordin Canada Over 7.5 Assists
——19%57%
Naz Hillmon Over 8.5 Points
——19%54%
Jordin Canada Under 10.5 Points
——19%52%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds
——20%51%
Allisha Gray Over 19.5 Points
——19%49%
Rhyne Howard Under 18.5 Points
——19%49%
Total under 175.5
——20%—
Phoenix Mercury
1%1%6%4%
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
3%———
Atlanta Dream spread minus 6.5
——1%—
Atlanta wins by over 10.5 points
1%———
Atlanta wins by over 13.5 points
1%———
Atlanta wins by over 16.5 points
1%———
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 7.5
——1%—
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
1%———
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
1%———
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
1%———
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 5.5
——0%—
Total over 176.5
——0%—
Atlanta Dream spread minus 7.5
99%—1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread12.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Atlanta Dream

95.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Atlanta wins the Atlanta vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 10:00PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Phoenix vs Atlanta WNBA game scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury odds?

The last available prices are Atlanta Dream: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.8¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Phoenix Mercury: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 12.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market payouts work?

For example, Atlanta Dream at 95.9¢ implies about a 95.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available