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Live prediction market odds for Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Dallas Wings Wins: Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury

WNBA·Resolved 2026-09-21

This market resolved on 2026-09-21. Dallas Wings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.

About This Market

Dallas Wings vs.

Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: WNBA game held on 2026-09-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jessica Shepard Over 4.5 Assists
———100%—
Jessica Lynn Shepard Over 4.5 Points
————99%
Jessica Shepard Over 9.5 Rebounds
———99%—
Paige Bueckers Over 11.5 Points
————95%
Arike Ogunbowale Over 1.5 Assists
————92%
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 6.5
———89%—
Alyssa Thomas Over 5.5 Assists
————88%
Noemie Brochant Over 4.5 Points
————88%
Natasha Mack Over 5.5 Rebounds
————85%
Paige Bueckers Over 3.5 Assists
————85%
Alyssa Thomas Over 5.5 Rebounds
————81%
Aziaha James Over 4.5 Points
————80%
Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds
————77%
Paige Bueckers Over 2.5 Rebounds
————74%
Maddy Siegrist Under 3.5 Rebounds
————73%
Noemie Brochant Over 1.5 Assists
————72%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists
———100%71%
Aziaha James Under 3.5 Rebounds
————70%
Dallas WingsWINNER
24%69%72%68%97%
Alyssa Thomas Over 11.5 Points
————69%
Noemie Brochant Under 2.5 Assists
————68%
Sami Whitcomb Under 3.5 Assists
————67%
Kahleah Copper Over 2.5 Rebounds
————67%
Natasha Mack Over 9.5 Points
————66%
Natasha Mack Under 9.5 Points
————64%
Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 Rebounds
———62%65%
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Rebounds
———60%67%
Awak Sabit Bior Kuier Under 6.5 Rebounds
————62%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Over 4.5 Assists
————61%
Alyssa Thomas Under 14.5 Points
———68%54%
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Assists
———99%60%
Kahleah Copper Under 19.5 Points
————60%
Arike Ogunbowale Under 3.5 Assists
———60%59%
Jessica Shepard Under 13.5 Points
———59%—
Paige Bueckers Under 5.5 Assists
———0%59%
Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 Points
———100%58%
Arike Ogunbowale Under 2.5 Rebounds
———61%54%
Kahleah Copper Under 1.5 Assists
———50%64%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Under 13.5 Points
————57%
Noemie Brochant Under 2.5 Rebounds
————56%
Noemie Brochant Under 1.5 Assists
————56%
Awak Sabit Bior Kuier Over 8.5 Points
————55%
Arike Ogunbowale Under 16.5 Points
———55%56%
Noemie Brochant Under 8.5 Points
————55%
Kahleah Copper Over 18.5 Points
———100%55%
Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 Rebounds
————55%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds
———57%52%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Over 9.5 Rebounds
————54%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Under 9.5 Rebounds
————54%
Sami Whitcomb Over 7.5 Points
————54%
Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 Assists
———50%59%
Total over 172.5
———54%—
Paige Bueckers Under 3.5 Rebounds
———1%54%
Sami Whitcomb Under 7.5 Points
————53%
Awak Sabit Bior Kuier Under 8.5 Points
————53%
Alyssa Thomas Under 6.5 Rebounds
————53%
Aziaha James Under 4.5 Points
————53%
Dallas Wings spread minus 5.5
———52%—
Paige Bueckers Under 2.5 Rebounds
————52%
Aziaha James Over 7.5 Points
————51%
Noemie Brochant Over 2.5 Rebounds
————51%
Aziaha James Under 7.5 Points
————51%
Paige Bueckers Over 3.5 Rebounds
———99%51%
Total over 171.5
———51%—
Noemie Brochant Over 8.5 Points
————51%
Aziaha James Over 3.5 Rebounds
————51%
Kahleah Copper Under 9.5 Points
————51%
Noemie Brochant Over 9.5 Points
————51%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Rebounds
———43%57%
Kahleah Copper Under 18.5 Points
———0%50%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Under 4.5 Points
————50%
Awak Sabit Bior Kuier Over 9.5 Points
————49%
Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 Assists
———100%49%
Sami Whitcomb Over 8.5 Points
————49%
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 5.5
———48%—
Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 Points
————48%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Over 13.5 Points
————48%
Paige Bueckers Under 19.5 Points
———0%48%
Arike Ogunbowale Over 16.5 Points
———46%50%
Total under 173.5
———48%—
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists
———1%47%
Total under 172.5
———46%—
Total over 173.5
39%——53%—
Arike Ogunbowale Over 2.5 Rebounds
———39%52%
Jessica Lynn Shepard Under 4.5 Assists
————45%
Alyssa Thomas Under 5.5 Rebounds
————45%
Natasha Mack Under 5.5 Rebounds
————45%
Paige Bueckers Under 3.5 Assists
————45%
Arike Ogunbowale Over 3.5 Assists
———41%47%
Alyssa Thomas Under 5.5 Assists
————44%
Arike Ogunbowale Under 1.5 Assists
————44%
Noemie Brochant Over 2.5 Assists
————43%
Sami Whitcomb Over 3.5 Assists
————43%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Assists
———0%42%
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Rebounds
———41%42%
Jessica Shepard Over 13.5 Points
———41%—
Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 Rebounds
———39%43%
Awak Sabit Bior Kuier Over 6.5 Rebounds
————40%
Maddy Siegrist Over 3.5 Rebounds
————40%
Sami Whitcomb Over 2.5 Rebounds
————40%
Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points
———33%48%
Alyssa Thomas Under 11.5 Points
————40%
Arike Ogunbowale Over 3.5 Rebounds
————38%
Noemie Brochant Over 3.5 Rebounds
————35%
Phoenix Mercury
80%31%35%33%13%
Total under 171.5
———20%—
Dallas Wings spread minus 6.5
2%——11%—
Jessica Shepard Under 9.5 Rebounds
———1%—
Jessica Shepard Under 4.5 Assists
———0%—
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
—————
Dallas wins by over 12.5 points
—————
Dallas wins by over 15.5 points
—————
Dallas wins by over 18.5 points
—————
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points
—————
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points
—————
Over 158.5 points scored
—————
Over 161.5 points scored
—————
Over 164.5 points scored
—————
Over 167.5 points scored
—————
Over 170.5 points scored
—————
Over 176.5 points scored
—————
Over 179.5 points scored
—————
Over 182.5 points scored
—————
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
—————
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
—————
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread73.5%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Dallas Wings

66.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Dallas wins the Dallas vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Dallas Wings in Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Phoenix vs Dallas WNBA game scheduled for Sep 21, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury odds?

The last available prices are Dallas Wings: 24.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.5¢ on Polymarket, 97.5¢ on ProphetX, 69.0¢ on Polymarket US, 72.0¢ on Novig; Phoenix Mercury: 80.0¢ on Kalshi, 32.5¢ on Polymarket, 12.9¢ on ProphetX, 31.0¢ on Polymarket US, 35.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 73.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market payouts work?

For example, Dallas Wings at 66.0¢ implies about a 66.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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