About This Market
Las Vegas Aces vs.
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty — WNBA game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

WNBA·Resolved 2026-08-09
This market resolved on 2026-08-09. New York Liberty was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Las Vegas Aces vs.
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty — WNBA game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Total over 178.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
New York Liberty spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | — |
New York Liberty spread minus 10.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
New York Liberty spread minus 11.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
New York Liberty spread minus 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Total over 175.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total over 176.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total over 179.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total under 183.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
New York LibertyWINNER | 99% | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 19.5 Points | — | — | 95% | 57% |
Jonquel Jones Over 13.5 Points | — | — | 91% | 57% |
Jackie Young Under 6.5 Assists | — | — | 85% | 60% |
Chelsea Gray Under 6.5 Assists | — | — | 80% | 61% |
A'ja Wilson Under 25.5 Points | — | — | 80% | 60% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | 81% | 59% |
Jackie Young Under 18.5 Points | — | — | 86% | 54% |
Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | 81% | 55% |
Breanna Stewart Under 21.5 Points | — | — | 81% | 55% |
Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | 80% | 55% |
Pauline Astier Over 2.5 Assists | — | — | — | 67% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 5.5 Assists | — | — | 81% | 51% |
Jackie Young Under 5.5 Assists | — | — | 80% | 49% |
Chelsea Gray Under 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | 80% | 48% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 64% |
Pauline Astier Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 63% |
Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | 63% |
Marine Johannes Over 4.5 Points | — | — | — | 62% |
Pauline Astier Under 2.5 Assists | — | — | 81% | 43% |
NaLyssa Smith Under 16.5 Points | — | — | — | 61% |
Jonquel Jones Under 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 59% |
Jonquel Jones Over 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 58% |
Jonquel Jones Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 58% |
Jewell Loyd Under 17.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Marine Johannes Under 5.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
NaLyssa Smith Under 15.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 Points | — | — | 0% | 57% |
Rebecca Allen Under 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 57% |
A'ja Wilson Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | 100% | 56% |
NaLyssa Smith Under 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 56% |
A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | 99% | 56% |
Jonquel Jones Under 14.5 Points | — | — | 0% | 56% |
Rebecca Allen Over 5.5 Points | — | — | — | 56% |
Breanna Stewart Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | 0% | 55% |
A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 Points | — | — | — | 55% |
Pauline Astier Over 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 54% |
Marine Johannes Over 5.5 Points | — | — | — | 54% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | 53% |
Breanna Stewart Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | 100% | 52% |
A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | 1% | 52% |
NaLyssa Smith Over 15.5 Points | — | — | — | 52% |
Breanna Stewart Over 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 52% |
Pauline Astier Under 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 51% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points | — | — | — | 51% |
A'ja Wilson Under 24.5 Points | — | — | — | 51% |
Rebecca Allen Over 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 51% |
Jewell Loyd Over 18.5 Points | — | — | — | 51% |
Jonquel Jones Over 14.5 Points | — | — | 100% | 51% |
Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 50% |
Jewell Loyd Over 17.5 Points | — | — | — | 50% |
NaLyssa Smith Over 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 50% |
Jonquel Jones Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 49% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 49% |
NaLyssa Smith Over 16.5 Points | — | — | — | 49% |
A'ja Wilson Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | 0% | 48% |
Rebecca Allen Under 5.5 Points | — | — | — | 48% |
Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | 1% | 46% |
Pauline Astier Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 46% |
Chelsea Gray Under 11.5 Points | — | — | 100% | 44% |
Marine Johannes Under 4.5 Points | — | — | — | 43% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 43% |
Jackie Young Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | 20% | 62% |
Chelsea Gray Over 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | 20% | 61% |
Jackie Young Over 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | 20% | 53% |
Breanna Stewart Over 21.5 Points | — | — | 19% | 54% |
A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 Points | — | — | 20% | 48% |
Jackie Young Over 18.5 Points | — | — | 14% | 53% |
Chelsea Gray Over 6.5 Assists | — | — | 20% | 44% |
Jonquel Jones Under 13.5 Points | — | — | 10% | 51% |
Jackie Young Over 6.5 Assists | — | — | 15% | 44% |
Las Vegas Aces | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Las Vegas Aces spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Las Vegas Aces spread plus 10.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Las Vegas Aces spread plus 11.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Las Vegas Aces spread plus 9.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Total over 183.5 | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Total under 175.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 176.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 179.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 178.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 12.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 15.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 18.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 21.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 24.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 27.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 3.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 6.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 171.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 174.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 177.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 180.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 186.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 189.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 192.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 195.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
New York Liberty
99.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Las Vegas wins the Las Vegas vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 9 at 12:30PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York vs Las Vegas WNBA game scheduled for Aug 9, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Liberty: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.8¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Las Vegas Aces: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.9¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Liberty at 99.2¢ implies about a 99.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.