About This Market
Las Vegas Aces vs.
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: WNBA game held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

WNBA·Resolved 2026-09-24
This market resolved on 2026-09-24. Las Vegas Aces was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Las Vegas Aces vs.
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: WNBA game held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Las Vegas Aces spread minus 9.5 | 95% | — | — | 98% | — |
Alyssa Thomas Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 96% |
A'ja Wilson Over 1.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 95% |
A'ja Wilson Over 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 94% |
A'ja Wilson Over 5.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 93% |
Jackie Young Over 1.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 93% |
Jackie Young Over 2.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 92% |
Jackie Young Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 92% |
Jackie Young Over 11.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 90% |
Jackie Young Over 14.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 89% |
A'ja Wilson Over 17.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 89% |
Jackie Young Over 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 89% |
Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 88% |
Las Vegas AcesWINNER | 100% | 79% | 97% | 99% | 99% |
A'ja Wilson Over 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 87% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 87% |
Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 87% |
Chelsea Gray Over 7.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 87% |
Total over 174.5 | 88% | — | — | 86% | — |
Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 87% |
Kahleah Copper Over 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 82% |
Kahleah Copper Over 14.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 81% |
Jackie Young Over 17.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 78% |
Jackie Young Under 5.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 77% |
Chelsea Gray Under 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 77% |
A'ja Wilson Over 19.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 77% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 11.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 76% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 74% |
Chelsea Gray Over 9.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 73% |
A'ja Wilson Over 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 71% |
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 71% |
Kahleah Copper Over 17.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 70% |
Jackie Young Over 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 69% |
Jackie Young Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 68% |
Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 68% |
Jackie Young Over 19.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 66% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Chelsea Gray Over 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Jackie Young Under 19.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 63% |
A'ja Wilson Under 24.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Kahleah Copper Under 17.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 56% |
A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 55% |
A'ja Wilson Over 23.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 54% |
A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Jackie Young Over 20.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 175.5 | — | — | — | 53% | — |
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Chelsea Gray Under 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Chelsea Gray Under 9.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Total under 174.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
Kahleah Copper Under 19.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 51% |
A'ja Wilson Under 19.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Jackie Young Under 20.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 51% |
A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 50% |
A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 50% |
A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Kahleah Copper Over 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 49% |
A'ja Wilson Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 9.5 | — | — | — | 48% | — |
Chelsea Gray Under 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Jackie Young Under 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 47% |
A'ja Wilson Under 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 175.5 | — | — | — | 47% | — |
Jackie Young Under 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Jackie Young Over 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Kahleah Copper Under 14.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Chelsea Gray Under 7.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Jackie Young Under 1.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 45% |
A'ja Wilson Under 17.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Chelsea Gray Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Chelsea Gray Under 5.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 44% |
A'ja Wilson Under 5.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Jackie Young Under 11.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Jackie Young Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 44% |
A'ja Wilson Under 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 41% |
Jackie Young Under 5.5 Assists | — | — | — | — | 39% |
Jackie Young Over 5.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | — | 38% |
Jackie Young Under 14.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 35% |
Chelsea Gray Over 14.5 Points | — | — | — | — | 33% |
Phoenix Mercury | 1% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 12.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 15.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 18.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 21.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 162.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 165.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 168.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 171.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 177.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 180.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 183.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 186.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Las Vegas Aces
94.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Las Vegas vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigPhoenix Mercury in Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 24 at 10:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Phoenix vs Las Vegas WNBA game scheduled for Sep 24, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Las Vegas Aces: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.4¢ on Polymarket, 99.4¢ on ProphetX, 79.0¢ on Polymarket US, 97.0¢ on Novig; Phoenix Mercury: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.6¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US, 3.9¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 20.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Las Vegas Aces at 94.9¢ implies about a 94.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.