Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo CodeNovig Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Las Vegas Aces Wins: Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

WNBA·Resolved 2026-09-24

This market resolved on 2026-09-24. Las Vegas Aces was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Las Vegas Aces vs.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: WNBA game held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Las Vegas Aces spread minus 9.5
95%——98%—
Alyssa Thomas Over 5.5 Assists
————96%
A'ja Wilson Over 1.5 Assists
————95%
A'ja Wilson Over 4.5 Rebounds
————94%
A'ja Wilson Over 5.5 Rebounds
————93%
Jackie Young Over 1.5 Rebounds
————93%
Jackie Young Over 2.5 Assists
————92%
Jackie Young Over 3.5 Assists
————92%
Jackie Young Over 11.5 Points
————90%
Jackie Young Over 14.5 Points
————89%
A'ja Wilson Over 17.5 Points
————89%
Jackie Young Over 2.5 Rebounds
————89%
Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Points
————88%
Las Vegas AcesWINNER
100%79%97%99%99%
A'ja Wilson Over 6.5 Rebounds
————87%
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Points
————87%
Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Assists
————87%
Chelsea Gray Over 7.5 Points
————87%
Total over 174.5
88%——86%—
Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds
————87%
Kahleah Copper Over 2.5 Rebounds
————82%
Kahleah Copper Over 14.5 Points
————81%
Jackie Young Over 17.5 Points
————78%
Jackie Young Under 5.5 Rebounds
————77%
Chelsea Gray Under 3.5 Rebounds
————77%
A'ja Wilson Over 19.5 Points
————77%
Alyssa Thomas Over 11.5 Points
————76%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Rebounds
————74%
Chelsea Gray Over 9.5 Points
————73%
A'ja Wilson Over 7.5 Rebounds
————71%
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Rebounds
————71%
Kahleah Copper Over 17.5 Points
————70%
Jackie Young Over 3.5 Rebounds
————69%
Jackie Young Over 5.5 Assists
————68%
Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds
————68%
Jackie Young Over 19.5 Points
————66%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists
————65%
Chelsea Gray Over 2.5 Rebounds
————65%
Jackie Young Under 19.5 Points
————63%
A'ja Wilson Under 24.5 Points
————59%
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Assists
————59%
Kahleah Copper Under 17.5 Points
————57%
Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 Rebounds
————56%
A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 Rebounds
————55%
A'ja Wilson Over 23.5 Points
————55%
Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 Points
————54%
A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 Points
————54%
Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists
————54%
Jackie Young Over 20.5 Points
————54%
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists
————53%
Total under 175.5
———53%—
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Assists
————53%
Chelsea Gray Under 5.5 Assists
————52%
Chelsea Gray Under 9.5 Points
————52%
Kahleah Copper Under 2.5 Rebounds
————52%
Chelsea Gray Over 11.5 Points
————51%
Total under 174.5
———51%—
Kahleah Copper Under 19.5 Points
————51%
A'ja Wilson Under 19.5 Points
————51%
Jackie Young Under 20.5 Points
————51%
A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 Rebounds
————50%
A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 Points
————50%
Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 Rebounds
————50%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds
————50%
A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 Points
————50%
Kahleah Copper Over 4.5 Rebounds
————49%
A'ja Wilson Over 3.5 Assists
————48%
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 9.5
———48%—
Chelsea Gray Under 2.5 Rebounds
————48%
Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points
————47%
Jackie Young Under 3.5 Rebounds
————47%
A'ja Wilson Under 6.5 Rebounds
————47%
Total over 175.5
———47%—
Jackie Young Under 2.5 Rebounds
————47%
Jackie Young Over 4.5 Rebounds
————46%
Kahleah Copper Under 14.5 Points
————46%
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Points
————45%
Chelsea Gray Under 7.5 Points
————45%
Jackie Young Under 1.5 Rebounds
————45%
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Rebounds
————45%
A'ja Wilson Under 17.5 Points
————45%
Chelsea Gray Under 3.5 Assists
————45%
Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds
————44%
Chelsea Gray Under 5.5 Points
————44%
A'ja Wilson Under 5.5 Rebounds
————44%
Jackie Young Under 11.5 Points
————44%
Jackie Young Under 3.5 Assists
————44%
A'ja Wilson Under 7.5 Rebounds
————41%
Jackie Young Under 5.5 Assists
————39%
Jackie Young Over 5.5 Rebounds
————38%
Jackie Young Under 14.5 Points
————35%
Chelsea Gray Over 14.5 Points
————33%
Phoenix Mercury
1%21%4%1%2%
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points
—————
Las Vegas wins by over 12.5 points
—————
Las Vegas wins by over 15.5 points
—————
Las Vegas wins by over 18.5 points
—————
Las Vegas wins by over 21.5 points
—————
Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
—————
Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 points
—————
Over 162.5 points scored
—————
Over 165.5 points scored
—————
Over 168.5 points scored
—————
Over 171.5 points scored
—————
Over 177.5 points scored
—————
Over 180.5 points scored
—————
Over 183.5 points scored
—————
Over 186.5 points scored
—————
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
—————
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
—————
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread20.5%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Las Vegas Aces

94.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Phoenix wins the Las Vegas vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Phoenix Mercury in Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 24 at 10:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Phoenix vs Las Vegas WNBA game scheduled for Sep 24, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury odds?

The last available prices are Las Vegas Aces: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.4¢ on Polymarket, 99.4¢ on ProphetX, 79.0¢ on Polymarket US, 97.0¢ on Novig; Phoenix Mercury: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.6¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US, 3.9¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 20.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market payouts work?

For example, Las Vegas Aces at 94.9¢ implies about a 94.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

View

Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs

View

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions

View

Jordan Chiu vs. Kai-i Wang

View

Mae Malige vs. Melih Anavatan

Resolved Sep 29

Final odds