About This Market
New York Liberty vs.
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun — WNBA game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

WNBA·Resolved 2026-08-15
This market resolved on 2026-08-15. New York Liberty was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
New York Liberty vs.
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun — WNBA game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabrina Ionescu Under 17.5 Points | — | — | 99% | — |
New York wins by over 1.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 4.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 Assists | — | — | 99% | — |
New York LibertyWINNER | 99% | 98% | 100% | 97% |
Total under 173.5 | — | — | 94% | — |
Breanna Stewart Under 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 176.5 | — | — | 91% | — |
Total under 171.5 | — | — | 89% | — |
Total under 175.5 | — | — | 89% | — |
Total under 174.5 | — | — | 88% | — |
Connecticut Sun spread plus 7.5 | — | — | 87% | — |
Total under 172.5 | — | — | 86% | — |
Pauline Astier Under 9.5 Points | — | — | 81% | — |
Leila Lacan Over 11.5 Points | — | — | 95% | 54% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | 80% | 61% |
Diamond Miller Over 9.5 Points | — | — | — | 69% |
Pauline Astier Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | 51% | 68% |
Brittney Griner Under 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | 69% | 66% |
Breanna Stewart Over 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 67% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 5.5 Assists | — | — | 99% | 66% |
Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 Assists | — | — | — | 66% |
Breanna Stewart Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | 81% | 51% |
Pauline Astier Under 8.5 Points | — | — | 81% | 46% |
Jonquel Jones Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 63% |
Pauline Astier Under 4.5 Assists | — | — | — | 62% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Assists | — | — | 1% | 62% |
Brittney Griner Under 12.5 Points | — | — | 67% | 57% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 61% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | 100% | 61% |
Charlisse Leger-Walker Under 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 60% |
Jonquel Jones Under 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | 0% | 60% |
Pauline Astier Over 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 60% |
Diamond Miller Over 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 60% |
Marine Johannes Under 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 59% |
Rebecca Allen Over 7.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Leila Lacan Over 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Marine Johannes Over 7.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Leila Lacan Under 4.5 Assists | — | — | 0% | 58% |
Marine Johannes Over 9.5 Points | — | — | — | 58% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | 0% | 58% |
Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | 53% | 62% |
Charlisse Leger-Walker Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 57% |
Sabrina Ionescu Under 18.5 Points | — | — | 60% | 54% |
Rebecca Allen Under 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 57% |
Jonquel Jones Over 14.5 Points | — | — | 100% | 56% |
Pauline Astier Over 7.5 Points | — | — | 100% | 56% |
Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 6.5 Points | — | — | — | 55% |
Kennedy Burke Under 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 55% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 11.5 Points | — | — | — | 55% |
New York Liberty spread minus 8.5 | — | — | 55% | — |
Marine Johannes Over 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 55% |
Breanna Stewart Over 21.5 Points | — | — | 55% | 54% |
Marine Johannes Under 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 54% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 17.5 Points | — | — | 1% | 54% |
Kennedy Burke Over 3.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 54% |
Total under 177.5 | — | — | 54% | — |
Marine Johannes Under 9.5 Points | — | — | — | 54% |
Brittney Griner Under 1.5 Assists | — | — | — | 54% |
Marine Johannes Under 7.5 Points | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 169.5 | — | — | 53% | — |
Breanna Stewart Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 53% |
Leila Lacan Under 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 52% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 11.5 Points | — | — | — | 52% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 7.5 Rebounds | — | — | 100% | 52% |
Rebecca Allen Over 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 52% |
Brittney Griner Under 11.5 Points | — | — | 56% | 48% |
Pauline Astier Under 2.5 Assists | — | — | 52% | — |
Charlisse Leger-Walker Under 6.5 Points | — | — | — | 51% |
Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 50% |
Jonquel Jones Under 14.5 Points | — | — | 0% | 50% |
Brittney Griner Over 11.5 Points | — | — | 44% | 56% |
Marine Johannes Over 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 50% |
Pauline Astier Over 9.5 Points | — | — | — | 50% |
Diamond Miller Under 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 49% |
Leila Lacan Over 4.5 Assists | — | — | 100% | 49% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 10.5 Points | — | — | — | 48% |
Pauline Astier Under 7.5 Points | — | — | 1% | 48% |
Pauline Astier Over 2.5 Assists | — | — | 48% | — |
Pauline Astier Over 4.5 Assists | — | — | — | 48% |
Breanna Stewart Under 21.5 Points | — | — | 45% | 50% |
Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 Assists | — | — | 1% | 47% |
Total over 169.5 | — | — | 47% | — |
Kennedy Burke Under 8.5 Points | — | — | — | 47% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | 0% | 47% |
Total over 177.5 | — | — | 46% | — |
Breanna Stewart Over 8.5 Rebounds | — | — | 47% | 45% |
Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 Rebounds | — | — | 100% | 46% |
Connecticut Sun spread plus 8.5 | — | — | 45% | — |
Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 2.5 Rebounds | — | — | — | 45% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 18.5 Points | — | — | 40% | 49% |
Jonquel Jones Over 3.5 Assists | — | — | — | 45% |
Diamond Miller Under 9.5 Points | — | — | — | 44% |
Brittney Griner Over 12.5 Points | — | — | 33% | 53% |
Pauline Astier Under 3.5 Assists | — | — | 50% | 43% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 5.5 Assists | — | — | 1% | 42% |
Brittney Griner Over 6.5 Rebounds | — | — | 31% | 44% |
Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Rebounds | — | — | 20% | 46% |
Leila Lacan Under 11.5 Points | — | — | 5% | 51% |
Total over 172.5 | — | — | 14% | — |
New York Liberty spread minus 7.5 | 1% | — | 13% | — |
Total over 174.5 | — | — | 12% | — |
Total over 171.5 | — | — | 11% | — |
Total over 175.5 | — | — | 11% | — |
Connecticut Sun | 1% | 2% | 0% | 16% |
Total over 176.5 | 1% | — | 9% | — |
Total over 173.5 | 1% | — | 6% | — |
Connecticut wins by over 9.5 points | 3% | — | — | — |
Connecticut wins by over 1.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Connecticut wins by over 3.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Connecticut wins by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 10.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 13.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 16.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
New York wins by over 19.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 164.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 167.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 170.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 179.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 182.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 185.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 188.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
New York Liberty
98.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York wins the New York vs Connecticut women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 15 at 1:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Connecticut vs New York WNBA game scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Liberty: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Connecticut Sun: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 16.1¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 16.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Liberty at 98.5¢ implies about a 98.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.