If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 10:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Los Angeles vs Phoenix WNBA game scheduled for Aug 11, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks odds?

The latest available prices are Los Angeles Sparks: 53.0¢ on Kalshi, 52.0¢ on Polymarket, 53.5¢ on ProphetX, 53.0¢ on Polymarket US; Phoenix Mercury: 48.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.0¢ on Polymarket, 48.4¢ on ProphetX, 47.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks prediction market payouts work?

For example, Los Angeles Sparks at 52.9¢ implies about a 52.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Spread

Totals

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Frequently Asked Questions

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