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Live prediction market odds for Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Phoenix Mercury Wins: Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire

WNBA·Resolved 2026-09-17

This market resolved on 2026-09-17. Phoenix Mercury was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Phoenix Mercury vs.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: WNBA game held on 2026-09-17. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Total over 171.5
—100%—
Over 163.5 points scored
100%——
Over 166.5 points scored
100%——
Over 169.5 points scored
100%——
Over 178.5 points scored
100%——
Over 181.5 points scored
100%——
Alyssa Thomas Over 5.5 Assists
——96%
Alyssa Thomas Over 4.5 Rebounds
——95%
Alyssa Thomas Under 13.5 Assists
——91%
Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Assists
——83%
Alyssa Thomas Over 11.5 Points
——82%
Emily Engstler Over 4.5 Rebounds
——82%
Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Assists
——81%
Alyssa Thomas Under 11.5 Assists
——79%
Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds
——77%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists
——76%
Emily Engstler Over 11.5 Points
——76%
Kahleah Copper Over 17.5 Points
——73%
Nyadiew Puoch Over 5.5 Points
——71%
Natasha Mack Under 10.5 Points
——64%
Nyadiew Puoch Over 2.5 Rebounds
——60%
Natasha Mack Under 11.5 Points
——60%
Nyadiew Puoch Under 7.5 Points
——60%
Alyssa Thomas Under 15.5 Points
—99%58%
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Rebounds
—58%58%
Natasha Mack Over 7.5 Rebounds
——57%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds
—62%52%
Nyadiew Puoch Under 2.5 Rebounds
——57%
Emily Engstler Over 2.5 Assists
——56%
Natasha Mack Over 10.5 Points
——55%
Emily Engstler Under 14.5 Points
——55%
Total under 173.5
—55%—
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Assists
—62%47%
Emily Engstler Over 6.5 Rebounds
——54%
Emily Engstler Under 11.5 Points
——54%
Kahleah Copper Under 17.5 Points
——54%
Phoenix Mercury spread minus 2.5
—53%—
Alyssa Thomas Under 11.5 Points
——53%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Assists
——53%
Alyssa Thomas Over 15.5 Points
—1%52%
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists
—39%65%
Total under 172.5
—52%—
Portland Fire spread plus 3.5
—51%—
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Rebounds
—38%63%
Emily Engstler Under 6.5 Rebounds
——50%
Total over 172.5
99%50%—
Emily Engstler Under 2.5 Assists
——49%
Nyadiew Puoch Over 7.5 Points
——49%
Alyssa Thomas Under 6.5 Rebounds
——49%
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists
——48%
Emily Engstler Over 14.5 Points
——47%
Portland Fire spread plus 2.5
—47%—
Natasha Mack Over 11.5 Points
——47%
Over 184.5 points scored
46%——
Total over 173.5
—46%—
Alyssa Thomas Under 6.5 Assists
——45%
Emily Engstler Under 4.5 Rebounds
——45%
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Rebounds
—43%46%
Alyssa Thomas Under 4.5 Rebounds
——44%
Alyssa Thomas Under 5.5 Assists
——44%
Emily Engstler Over 7.5 Rebounds
——43%
Phoenix Mercury spread minus 3.5
1%42%—
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Rebounds
——39%
Alyssa Thomas Over 11.5 Assists
——27%
Alyssa Thomas Over 13.5 Assists
——14%
Portland wins by over 3.5 points
13%——
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
5%——
Phoenix wins by over 12.5 points
2%——
Portland wins by over 6.5 points
2%——
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
1%——
Over 187.5 points scored
1%——
Portland wins by over 1.5 points
1%——
Portland wins by over 9.5 points
1%——
Total under 171.5
—0%—
Phoenix MercuryWINNER
———
Phoenix Mercury spread minus 1.5
———
Portland Fire
———
Portland Fire spread plus 1.5
———
Total over 175.5
———
Total under 175.5
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Phoenix Mercury

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Phoenix Mercury in Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire (WNBA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Portland vs Phoenix WNBA game scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds