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Live prediction market odds for Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Washington Mystics Wins: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics

WNBA·Resolved 2026-08-09

This market resolved on 2026-08-09. Washington Mystics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Phoenix Mercury vs.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics — WNBA game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Total over 167.5
99%—100%—
Total over 168.5
——100%—
Washington Mystics spread minus 1.5
99%—100%—
Washington MysticsWINNER
99%99%100%98%
Kiki Iriafen Under 9.5 Rebounds
——98%61%
Sonia Citron Over 15.5 Points
——98%57%
Kelsey Plum Under 18.5 Points
——95%57%
Alyssa Thomas Under 14.5 Points
——95%56%
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Assists
——81%64%
Kiki Iriafen Under 14.5 Points
——95%49%
Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 Rebounds
——81%60%
Cotie McMahon Over 3.5 Rebounds
———69%
Kahleah Copper Under 20.5 Points
——81%56%
Shakira Austin Over 9.5 Rebounds
——100%68%
DeWanna Bonner Over 6.5 Rebounds
———67%
Kelsey Plum Under 4.5 Assists
——81%52%
Cotie McMahon Under 4.5 Rebounds
———65%
Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 Assists
——99%65%
Kelsey Plum Under 2.5 Rebounds
——1%65%
Sonia Citron Over 3.5 Assists
——99%65%
Shakira Austin Under 18.5 Points
———64%
DeWanna Bonner Under 7.5 Rebounds
———63%
Kiki Iriafen Over 8.5 Rebounds
——99%62%
Lauren Betts Over 4.5 Rebounds
———61%
Sonia Citron Under 4.5 Assists
——0%61%
Lauren Betts Over 5.5 Points
———61%
Lauren Betts Under 5.5 Rebounds
———60%
Michaela Onyenwere Over 7.5 Points
———60%
Noemie Brochant Under 4.5 Points
———60%
Cotie McMahon Over 7.5 Points
———60%
Sonia Citron Under 3.5 Rebounds
——1%60%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists
———59%
DeWanna Bonner Over 9.5 Points
———58%
Georgia Amoore Under 6.5 Points
———58%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Assists
———58%
DeWanna Bonner Under 10.5 Points
———58%
Kiki Iriafen Over 1.5 Assists
——99%57%
Shakira Austin Over 2.5 Assists
——99%56%
Georgia Amoore Under 3.5 Assists
———56%
Kelsey Plum Under 19.5 Points
———56%
Sonia Citron Under 16.5 Points
——1%56%
Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 Points
———56%
Shakira Austin Under 17.5 Points
——1%55%
Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Rebounds
——100%54%
Kelsey Plum Over 19.5 Points
———54%
Noemie Brochant Over 4.5 Points
———54%
Kahleah Copper Under 19.5 Points
———53%
Shakira Austin Under 10.5 Rebounds
——1%53%
Kiki Iriafen Over 14.5 Points
———53%
Kiki Iriafen Under 1.5 Assists
——1%53%
Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds
——0%52%
DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 Points
———52%
Georgia Amoore Over 6.5 Points
———52%
Kelsey Plum Over 4.5 Assists
———51%
Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points
———51%
Kelsey Plum Under 17.5 Points
———51%
Cotie McMahon Under 3.5 Rebounds
———51%
Kelsey Plum Over 18.5 Points
———51%
Lauren Betts Under 5.5 Points
———51%
Georgia Amoore Over 3.5 Assists
———50%
Shakira Austin Over 17.5 Points
——99%50%
Sonia Citron Over 16.5 Points
——99%50%
Michaela Onyenwere Under 7.5 Points
———50%
DeWanna Bonner Under 9.5 Points
———49%
Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 Points
———49%
Lauren Betts Over 5.5 Rebounds
———49%
Shakira Austin Under 2.5 Assists
——1%49%
Cotie McMahon Under 7.5 Points
———48%
Kahleah Copper Over 3.5 Rebounds
———48%
Shakira Austin Over 10.5 Rebounds
——99%48%
DeWanna Bonner Under 6.5 Rebounds
———47%
Shakira Austin Under 9.5 Rebounds
——0%47%
Kiki Iriafen Under 8.5 Rebounds
——1%47%
Sonia Citron Over 3.5 Rebounds
——99%46%
Michaela Onyenwere Over 3.5 Rebounds
———44%
DeWanna Bonner Over 7.5 Rebounds
———43%
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists
———42%
Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 Rebounds
——99%42%
Lauren Betts Under 4.5 Rebounds
———42%
Sonia Citron Over 4.5 Assists
——100%42%
Cotie McMahon Over 4.5 Rebounds
———40%
Shakira Austin Over 18.5 Points
———40%
Kahleah Copper Under 1.5 Assists
——1%40%
Sonia Citron Under 3.5 Assists
——1%35%
Sonia Citron Under 15.5 Points
——2%46%
Kiki Iriafen Over 9.5 Rebounds
——3%46%
Phoenix Mercury
1%1%0%4%
Phoenix Mercury spread plus 1.5
——0%—
Total under 167.5
——0%—
Total under 168.5
——0%—
Over 155.5 points scored
99%———
Over 158.5 points scored
99%———
Over 161.5 points scored
99%———
Over 164.5 points scored
99%———
Over 170.5 points scored
1%———
Over 173.5 points scored
1%———
Over 176.5 points scored
1%———
Over 179.5 points scored
1%———
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
1%———
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
1%———
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
1%———
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
1%———
Washington wins by over 12.5 points
99%———
Washington wins by over 3.5 points
99%———
Washington wins by over 6.5 points
99%———
Washington wins by over 9.5 points
99%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.2%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Washington Mystics

99.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 9 at 3:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Washington vs Phoenix WNBA game scheduled for Aug 9, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics odds?

The last available prices are Washington Mystics: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Phoenix Mercury: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics prediction market payouts work?

For example, Washington Mystics at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available