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Live prediction market odds for Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury

WNBA·2026-08-16

Best price · tap to trade

Phoenix Mercury1¢100.00xKalshiPortland Fire29¢3.45xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Phoenix Mercury about a 34.7% chance. Portland Fire follows at 66.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 70.0 percentage points.

Traders give Phoenix Mercury about a 34.7% chance. Portland Fire follows at 66.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 70.0 percentage points.

Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury — WNBA game scheduled for 2026-08-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
PM
Phoenix MercuryARB
34%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US71¢
Polymarket59¢
ProphetX8¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
70.0%69¢71¢29¢31¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
ProphetXProphetX
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
PF
Portland FireARB
66%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US29¢
Polymarket41¢
ProphetX99¢
Polymarket US3.45x29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
PolymarketPolymarket
40.0%39¢41¢59¢61¢
ProphetXProphetX
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Spread

Best price
PDX +5.5
Polymarket49¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢
PHX -5.5
Polymarket51¢
Polymarket1.96x51¢

Totals

ARB 22¢
Best price
O 178.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket23¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
U 178.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket77¢
Polymarket1.30x77¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread70.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Phoenix Mercury

34.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Portland wins the Portland vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Phoenix vs Portland WNBA game scheduled for Aug 16, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WNBA.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury odds?

The latest available prices are Phoenix Mercury: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 59.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.8¢ on ProphetX, 71.0¢ on Polymarket US; Portland Fire: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 41.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.6¢ on ProphetX, 29.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 70.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market payouts work?

For example, Phoenix Mercury at 34.7¢ implies about a 34.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available