Live prediction market odds for World Cup Group E Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of World Cup Group E. This event is crucial as it determines which teams advance to the knockout stage, impacting national pride and future matchups in the tournament.
Germany leads the “World Cup Group E Winner” event at 70.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Ecuador (20.8%), Ivory Coast (8.4%), and Curaçao (1.5%). A 2.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Group E features multiple national teams competing for advancement in the tournament. The specific teams can affect market odds based on their historical performance and current form.
The top teams from each group advance to the knockout rounds, where the competition intensifies. Success in the group stage is critical for teams aiming for the championship.
Odds are influenced by team performance, injuries, and historical matchups. Betting sentiment and expert analyses also play a role in shaping market expectations.
World Cup Group E Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Germany leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ecuador at 21%, Ivory Coast at 8%, Curaçao at 1%.
Germany currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Germany, Ecuador at 21% and Ivory Coast at 8% and Curaçao at 1% are the next closest contenders. A 2.2% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Germany
70.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Curacao finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
