If Alina Charaeva wins the You vs Charaeva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the You vs Charaeva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Alina Charaeva in Alina Charaeva @ Xiaodi You Round of 32 (WTA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaodi You and Alina Charaeva in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Xiaodi You. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi odds?

The latest available prices are Alina Charaeva: 63.0¢ on Kalshi, 63.5¢ on Polymarket, 62.9¢ on ProphetX, 62.5¢ on Novig; You Xiaodi: 38.0¢ on Kalshi, 38.5¢ on Polymarket, 39.5¢ on ProphetX, 37.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi prediction market payouts work?

For example, Alina Charaeva at 63.0¢ implies about a 63.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi

Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi

Related Markets

Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red

Melina Maria Maruca vs. Luciana Moyano

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

College Football Big 12 Championship Winner

Matthias Ujvary vs. Mauro Mavracic

Related Markets

Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red

Melina Maria Maruca vs. Luciana Moyano

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

College Football Big 12 Championship Winner

Matthias Ujvary vs. Mauro Mavracic

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi

Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi

Related Markets

Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red

Melina Maria Maruca vs. Luciana Moyano

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

College Football Big 12 Championship Winner

Matthias Ujvary vs. Mauro Mavracic

Related Markets

Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red

Melina Maria Maruca vs. Luciana Moyano

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

College Football Big 12 Championship Winner

Matthias Ujvary vs. Mauro Mavracic

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Alina Charaeva vs. You Xiaodi

Frequently Asked Questions