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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket

You Xiaodi Wins: Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi

WTA·Resolved 2026-09-12

This market resolved on 2026-09-12. You Xiaodi was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Luiza Fullana vs.

Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi: WTA Tennis match held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Xiaodi You wins the You vs Fullana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the You vs Fullana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

You Xiaodi in Luiza Fullana @ Xiaodi You 1st Qualifying Round (WTA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaodi You and Luiza Fullana in the Sao Paulo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Luiza Fullana. This market will resolve to 'Luiza Fullana' if Luiza Fullana advances against Xiaodi You. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Xiaodi You vs Luiza Fullana WTA match scheduled for September 12 at 9:00AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from WTA.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi odds?

The last available prices are You Xiaodi: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 81.5¢ on Novig; Luiza Fullana: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 24.0¢ on Polymarket US, 18.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 23.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi prediction market payouts work?

For example, You Xiaodi at 93.6¢ implies about a 93.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

You Xiaodi Wins: Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi

About This Market

Price History

You Xiaodi Wins: Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Candidate
You XiaodiWINNER	100%	—	82%	100%
Luiza Fullana	6%	24%	19%	0%

You Xiaodi Wins: Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi

About This Market

Price History

You Xiaodi Wins: Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi

About This Market

Price History

Related Markets

Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

AFC East: Total Wins

Matilde Mariani vs. Mariia Lazarenko

Lukas Pokorny vs. Valentin Vanta

Astrid Cirotte vs. Alexia Trasca

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Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

AFC East: Total Wins

Matilde Mariani vs. Mariia Lazarenko

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Luiza Fullana vs. You Xiaodi

Frequently Asked Questions