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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket

Nao Hibino Wins: Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok

WTA·Resolved 2026-09-13

This market resolved on 2026-09-13. Nao Hibino was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Nao Hibino vs.

Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok: WTA Tennis match held on 2026-09-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Nadiia Kichenok wins the Kichenok vs Hibino professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Guadalajara Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kichenok vs Hibino professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Guadalajara Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Nadiia Kichenok in Nao Hibino @ Nadiia Kichenok Qualification (WTA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Nadiia Kichenok and Nao Hibino in the Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadiia Kichenok' if Nadiia Kichenok advances against Nao Hibino. This market will resolve to 'Nao Hibino' if Nao Hibino advances against Nadiia Kichenok. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Nadiia Kichenok vs Nao Hibino WTA match scheduled for September 13 at 12:00PM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from WTA.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok odds?

The last available prices are Nao Hibino: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.1¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US, 95.0¢ on Novig; Nadiia Kichenok: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US, 5.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok prediction market payouts work?

For example, Nao Hibino at 97.9¢ implies about a 97.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Nao HibinoWINNER	100%	98%	95%	99%
Nadiia Kichenok	1%	2%	5%	1%

Nao Hibino Wins: Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok

About This Market

Price History

Nao Hibino Wins: Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Nao Hibino Wins: Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok

About This Market

Price History

Nao Hibino Wins: Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok

About This Market

Price History

Related Markets

Maria Martinez Vaquero vs. Naiktha Bains

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Missouri Tigers

Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs. Malkia Ngounoue

Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

Urszula Radwanska vs. Valentina Ryser

Related Markets

Maria Martinez Vaquero vs. Naiktha Bains

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Missouri Tigers

Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs. Malkia Ngounoue

Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Nao Hibino vs. Nadiia Kichenok

Frequently Asked Questions