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Kalshi / Polymarket

Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson

WTA·2026-10-02

Best price · tap to trade

Clara Tauson69¢1.45x

Polina Kudermetova34¢2.94x

About This Market

Traders give Clara Tauson about a 66.3% chance. Polina Kudermetova follows at 30.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.

Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson: WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-10-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price

Clara Tauson

66%

69¢

65¢

1.45x69¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	67.5%	66¢	69¢	31¢	34¢
Polymarket	65.0%	64¢	65¢	35¢	36¢

Polina Kudermetova

30%

34¢

36¢

2.94x34¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	25.0%	16¢	34¢	66¢	84¢
Polymarket	35.0%	35¢	36¢	64¢	65¢

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Clara Tauson wins the Tauson vs Kudermetova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Tauson vs Kudermetova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Clara Tauson and Polina Kudermetova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clara Tauson' if Clara Tauson advances against Polina Kudermetova. This market will resolve to 'Polina Kudermetova' if Polina Kudermetova advances against Clara Tauson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson odds?

The latest available prices are Clara Tauson: 67.5¢ on Kalshi, 65.0¢ on Polymarket; Polina Kudermetova: 25.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 10.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson prediction market payouts work?

For example, Clara Tauson at 66.3¢ implies about a 66.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson

About This Market

Price History

Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson

About This Market

Price History

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Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson

About This Market

Price History

Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson

About This Market

Price History

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Market Rulebook: Polina Kudermetova vs. Clara Tauson

Frequently Asked Questions