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Live prediction market odds for Aroldis Chapman's Next Team. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Aroldis Chapman's Next Team

Listed Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Mar 25, 2027

Best price · tap to trade

Boston70¢1.43xKalshiRetires / No Team7¢14.29xKalshiChicago C6¢16.67xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Boston about a 69.0% chance. Retires / No Team follows at 5.0%, Chicago C follows at 3.5%, and Los Angeles D follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Boston about a 69.0% chance. Retires / No Team follows at 5.0%, Chicago C follows at 3.5%, and Los Angeles D follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking Aroldis Chapman's next team, with resolution set for March 25, 2027. The market resolves based on the team Chapman is signed with at that date, influenced by trades, free agency decisions, and player performances leading up to the season's start.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
B
Boston
single venue69%
Kalshi70¢
Kalshi1.43x70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
69.0%68¢70¢30¢32¢
R/
Retires / No Team
single venue5%
Kalshi7¢
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%3¢7¢93¢97¢
CC
Chicago C
single venue4%
Kalshi6¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
LA
Los Angeles D
single venue4%
Kalshi6¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Retires / No Team

Aroldis Chapman is a professional baseball pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. He has previously played for the Cincinnati Reds, New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs, Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers, and Pittsburgh Pirates. Chapman is known for his exceptional fastball velocity and has been a key contributor to multiple World Series championships.

About Chicago C

Aroldis Chapman is a professional baseball pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. He previously played for the New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs, Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers, and Pittsburgh Pirates. Chapman is renowned for his exceptional fastball velocity and is the all-time leader in strikeouts for left-handed relievers.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Volume$37K
Leader

Boston

69.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Aroldis Chapman's Next Team

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Aroldis Chapman's next team is Washington before Mar 25, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If Aroldis Chapman officially retires before Mar 25, 2027 or is not on any team on Mar 25, 2027, "Retires / No Team" resolves to Yes. If Aroldis Chapman remains on the team they were on upon issuance on Mar 25, 2027, then the market for that team will resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of this market?

The market resolves based on the team Aroldis Chapman is signed with on March 25, 2027. Any trades or free agency signings before this date will affect the odds.

How does player performance impact this market?

Player performance can influence team decisions regarding signings or trades, thus affecting Chapman's potential next team. Strong performances may lead to increased interest from multiple teams.

When does the market close?

The market will close on March 25, 2027, at which point the final team Chapman is signed with will determine the outcome. Odds may fluctuate up until the market closure based on real-world developments.

What does the Aroldis Chapman's Next Team prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Aroldis Chapman's Next Team odds?

The latest available prices are Boston: 69.0¢ on Kalshi; Retires / No Team: 5.0¢ on Kalshi; Chicago C: 3.5¢ on Kalshi; Los Angeles D: 3.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 59%Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (2:10 PM ET)WONPre-event: 59%Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)WONPre-event: 59%Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)WONPre-event: 61%Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 56%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-08

LOSTChicago C
Pre-event: 59%

Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (2:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-09

WONChicago C
Pre-event: 59%

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-11

WONChicago C
Pre-event: 59%

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-12

WONChicago C
Pre-event: 61%

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-13

LOSTChicago C
Pre-event: 56%