Live prediction market odds for Arthur Gea vs. Zhang Zhizhen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for Arthur Gea vs. Zhang Zhizhen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Arthur Gea about a 74.2% chance. Zhang Zhizhen follows at 26.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.
Traders give Arthur Gea about a 74.2% chance. Zhang Zhizhen follows at 26.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.
Arthur Gea vs. Zhang Zhizhen: ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-09-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Kalshi
Novig
PolymarketKalshiNovigPolymarketArthur Gea
74.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Gea wins the Zhang vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Zhang vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigArthur Gea in Arthur Gea @ Zhizhen Zhang Round of 32 (ATP); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Arthur Gea in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Zhizhen Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Arthur Gea: 74.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.5¢ on Polymarket, 75.0¢ on Novig; Zhang Zhizhen: 26.0¢ on Kalshi, 26.5¢ on Polymarket, 27.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Arthur Gea at 74.2¢ implies about a 74.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.