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Live prediction market odds for Karen Khachanov vs. Hubert Hurkacz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket

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Karen Khachanov vs. Hubert Hurkacz

ATP·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Karen Khachanov60¢1.67xKalshiHubert Hurkacz41¢2.44xNovig

About This Market

Traders give Karen Khachanov about a 58.8% chance. Hubert Hurkacz follows at 41.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Karen Khachanov about a 58.8% chance. Hubert Hurkacz follows at 41.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Karen Khachanov and Hubert Hurkacz scheduled for October 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the winner of this specific tennis match, with odds fluctuating based on player performance and pre-match conditions.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
NovigNovig
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
KK
Karen Khachanov
59%
Kalshi60¢
Novig60¢
Polymarket59¢
Kalshi1.67x60¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
59.5%59¢60¢40¢41¢
NovigNovig
59.0%59¢60¢40¢41¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.0%58¢59¢41¢42¢
HH
Hubert Hurkacz
42%
Kalshi42¢
Novig41¢
Polymarket42¢
Novig2.44x41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
41.5%41¢42¢58¢59¢
NovigNovig
41.0%40¢41¢59¢60¢
PolymarketPolymarket
42.0%41¢42¢58¢59¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Karen Khachanov

58.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Karen Khachanov vs. Hubert Hurkacz

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Hubert Hurkacz wins the Hurkacz vs Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Hurkacz vs Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Hubert Hurkacz in Karen Khachanov @ Hubert Hurkacz Quarterfinals (ATP); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Karen Khachanov in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the match between Khachanov and Hurkacz?

The match is scheduled for October 4, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the market's resolution.

How does the market resolve for this match?

The market resolves based on the winner of the match between Khachanov and Hurkacz. Odds will change leading up to the match based on various factors.

Which platforms are tracking this tennis match?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking the match between Khachanov and Hurkacz. They provide real-time odds as the event approaches.

What does the Karen Khachanov vs. Hubert Hurkacz prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Karen Khachanov vs. Hubert Hurkacz odds?

The latest available prices are Karen Khachanov: 59.5¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket, 59.0¢ on Novig; Hubert Hurkacz: 41.5¢ on Kalshi, 42.0¢ on Polymarket, 41.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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