If Tommy Paul wins the Moutet vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Moutet vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Tommy Paul in Tommy Paul @ Corentin Moutet Quarterfinals (ATP); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Corentin Moutet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul ATP match scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match, the market will settle to the official winner of the match. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from ATP.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet odds?

The latest available prices are Tommy Paul: 76.5¢ on Kalshi, 76.5¢ on Polymarket, 76.5¢ on Polymarket US, 75.5¢ on Novig; Corentin Moutet: 23.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.5¢ on Polymarket, 23.5¢ on Polymarket US, 24.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tommy Paul at 76.3¢ implies about a 76.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet

Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet

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Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet

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About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet

Frequently Asked Questions