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Live prediction market odds for Bitcoin price at the end of 2026. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Opinion.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / Opinion

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Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

↑ 100,00036¢2.78xPolymarket↑ 110,00018¢5.56xPolymarket75,000 to 79,999.9912¢8.33xKalshi
Compare all 35 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give ↑ 100,000 about a 35.0% chance. ↑ 110,000 follows at 18.0%, 75,000 to 79,999.99 follows at 12.2%, and ↑ 120,000 follows at 10.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.0 percentage points.

Traders give ↑ 100,000 about a 35.0% chance. ↑ 110,000 follows at 18.0%, 75,000 to 79,999.99 follows at 12.2%, and ↑ 120,000 follows at 10.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bitcoin price at the end of 2026. Market sentiment is influenced by regulatory developments, technological advancements, and macroeconomic trends affecting cryptocurrency adoption and investment.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
OpinionOpinion
Best price
↑1
↑ 100,000
35%
—
Polymarket36¢
Opinion50¢
Polymarket2.78x36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
35.0%35¢36¢64¢65¢
OpinionOpinion
—0¢50¢50¢100¢
↑1
↑ 110,000
18%
—
Polymarket18¢
Opinion60¢
Polymarket5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%17¢18¢82¢83¢
OpinionOpinion
30.0%0¢60¢40¢100¢
7T
75,000 to 79,999.99
single venue12%
Kalshi12¢
—
—
Kalshi8.06x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
12.2%12¢12¢88¢88¢
↑1
↑ 120,000
single venue10%
—
Polymarket10¢
—
Polymarket10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
10.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
↓5
↓ 55,000
9%
—
Polymarket9¢
—
Polymarket11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
OpinionOpinion
—10¢——90¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketOpinionOpinion

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CF Benchmarks
OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread15.0%
Platforms3
Candidates35
Leader

↑ 100,000

35.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is above 149999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Resolution Oracles
CF Benchmarks
OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered. Time window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints. Meaning of “hit”: For any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No. For any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence Bitcoin's price by the end of 2026?

Factors include regulatory changes, market demand, technological advancements, and macroeconomic conditions. Investor sentiment and institutional adoption also play crucial roles.

How do prediction markets determine Bitcoin price odds?

Prediction markets aggregate data from various sources, including trader sentiment and market analysis. Prices fluctuate based on real-time information and trading activity.

Why is the end of 2026 a significant timeframe for Bitcoin predictions?

This timeframe allows for the assessment of Bitcoin's performance amid evolving market conditions and potential regulatory frameworks. It also coincides with broader economic trends that could impact cryptocurrency investments.

What does the Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are ↑ 100,000: 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 50.0¢ on Opinion; ↑ 110,000: 18.0¢ on Polymarket, 30.0¢ on Opinion; 75,000 to 79,999.99: 12.2¢ on Kalshi; ↑ 120,000: 10.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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