Traders give $80M about a 68.0% chance. $50M follows at 61.7%, $500M follows at 53.5%, and $300M follows at 53.1%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 24.5 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: QFEX FDV above one day after launch
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Created At: 2026-03-25T20:32:02.741984455Z
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the significance of the fully diluted valuation (FDV) for QFEX?
The fully diluted valuation represents the total market value of a cryptocurrency if all tokens were in circulation. It provides insight into the potential market cap and investor sentiment regarding QFEX.
How is the threshold for the FDV determined?
The threshold for the FDV is set based on market expectations and initial valuations at the time of QFEX's launch. It reflects the anticipated performance of the cryptocurrency in its early trading days.
When does the market resolve for QFEX FDV?
The market resolves one day after the launch of QFEX, specifically on January 2, 2028. Resolution occurs based on the FDV data available at that time.
What does the QFEX FDV above one day after launch prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest QFEX FDV above one day after launch odds?
The latest available prices are $80M: 80.0¢ on Polymarket, 56.0¢ on Predict.fun; $50M: 74.0¢ on Polymarket, 49.5¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 58.0¢ on Predict.fun; $300M: 46.5¢ on Polymarket, 59.8¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.