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Live prediction market odds for Atlético-MG vs. Botafogo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Kalshi / Polymarket

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Atlético-MG vs. Botafogo

Brasileirão · Game starts Nov 4, 2026 · Listed Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Atlético-MG80¢1.25xKalshiBotafogo80¢1.25xKalshiDraw80¢1.25xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Atlético-MG about a 80.0% chance. Botafogo follows at 73.5% and Draw follows at 58.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 43.0 percentage points.

Traders give Atlético-MG about a 80.0% chance. Botafogo follows at 73.5% and Draw follows at 58.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 43.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Atlético-MG and Botafogo. The market resolves based on the final outcome of the game, which will be determined by the score at the end of regulation time on the specified date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
D
Draw
59%
Kalshi80¢
Polymarket37¢
Kalshi1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
80.0%6¢80¢20¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
37.0%16¢37¢63¢84¢
B
Botafogo
74%
Kalshi80¢
Polymarket67¢
Kalshi1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
80.0%6¢80¢20¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
67.0%16¢67¢33¢84¢
A
Atlético-MG
single venue80%
Kalshi80¢
—
Kalshi1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
80.0%5¢80¢20¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread43.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Atlético-MG

80.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Atlético-MG vs. Botafogo

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie is the result of the Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 4, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Odds are influenced by team performance, injuries, and historical matchups. Betting trends and public sentiment also play a role in shaping the odds leading up to the game.

How is the winner determined in this market?

The winner is determined by the final score of the match after regulation time. If the match ends in a draw, that outcome will resolve the respective market.

Can the odds change before the match starts?

Yes, odds can fluctuate based on new information such as player injuries or changes in team strategy. Market activity and betting volume also contribute to these changes leading up to the game.

What does the Atlético-MG vs. Botafogo prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Atlético-MG vs. Botafogo odds?

The latest available prices are Atlético-MG: 80.0¢ on Kalshi; Botafogo: 80.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 80.0¢ on Kalshi, 37.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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