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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. TCU Horned Frogs: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. TCU Horned Frogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-19
This market resolved on 2026-09-19. TCU Horned Frogs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. TCU Horned Frogs: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 9.5 | 98% | — | — | 98% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 3.5 | 96% | — | — | 1% | — |
TCU Horned FrogsWINNER | 100% | 13% | 91% | 97% | 91% |
Total under 76.5 | — | — | — | 91% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
Total over 36.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 38.5 | — | — | — | 89% | — |
Total under 74.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 35.5 | — | — | — | 86% | — |
Total under 72.5 | — | — | — | 86% | — |
Total over 40.5 | — | — | — | 85% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 16.5 | 90% | — | — | 78% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 34.5 | — | — | — | 83% | — |
Total under 70.5 | — | — | — | 83% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 13.5 | 92% | — | — | 71% | — |
Total over 42.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 32.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 31.5 | — | — | — | 79% | — |
Total under 68.5 | — | — | — | 78% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 14.5 | 91% | — | — | 61% | — |
Total under 66.5 | — | — | — | 76% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 10.5 | 95% | — | — | 56% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 7.5 | 93% | — | — | 57% | — |
Total over 46.5 | — | — | — | 74% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 28.5 | — | — | — | 73% | — |
Total under 64.5 | — | — | — | 71% | — |
Total over 48.5 | — | — | — | 69% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 26.5 | — | — | — | 68% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 12.5 | — | — | — | 67% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 25.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
Total under 62.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 24.5 | — | — | — | 64% | — |
Total over 35.5 | 34% | — | 91% | — | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 23.5 | — | — | — | 61% | — |
Total under 60.5 | — | — | — | 61% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 11.5 | 72% | — | — | 47% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 21.5 | — | — | — | 59% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 22.5 | — | — | — | 59% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 15.5 | — | — | — | 59% | — |
Total over 52.5 | — | — | — | 59% | — |
Total under 58.5 | — | — | — | 57% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 20.5 | — | — | 54% | 54% | — |
Total under 56.5 | — | — | 52% | 52% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 18.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 38.5 | 4% | — | — | 98% | — |
Total over 62.5 | 4% | — | — | 98% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 19.5 | — | — | 51% | 50% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 1.5 | 97% | — | — | 3% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 19.5 | — | — | 50% | 50% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 18.5 | — | — | — | 49% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 4.5 | 96% | — | — | 2% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 17.5 | — | — | 47% | 47% | — |
Total under 54.5 | — | — | — | 45% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 16.5 | — | — | — | 43% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 15.5 | — | — | — | 42% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 22.5 | — | — | — | 42% | — |
Total under 52.5 | — | — | — | 42% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 14.5 | — | — | — | 40% | — |
Total over 60.5 | — | — | — | 40% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 17.5 | 38% | — | 53% | 34% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 20.5 | 22% | — | 47% | 38% | — |
Total over 47.5 | 3% | — | 73% | — | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 13.5 | — | — | — | 36% | — |
Total under 50.5 | — | — | — | 35% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 25.5 | — | — | — | 34% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 21.5 | 23% | — | — | 45% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 12.5 | — | — | — | 34% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 11.5 | — | — | — | 33% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 26.5 | — | — | — | 32% | — |
Total under 48.5 | — | — | — | 32% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 10.5 | — | — | — | 31% | — |
Total over 64.5 | — | — | — | 29% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 9.5 | — | — | — | 27% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 28.5 | — | — | — | 27% | — |
Total over 50.5 | 4% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 44.5 | 4% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 46.5 | — | — | — | 26% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 24.5 | 7% | — | — | 43% | — |
Total over 66.5 | — | — | — | 25% | — |
Total under 44.5 | — | — | — | 22% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 31.5 | — | — | — | 22% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 7.5 | — | — | — | 21% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 32.5 | — | — | — | 20% | — |
Total under 42.5 | — | — | — | 19% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% | — |
Total over 38.5 | 7% | — | — | 29% | — |
Total over 70.5 | — | — | — | 18% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 34.5 | — | — | — | 17% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Total under 40.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Total over 72.5 | — | — | — | 15% | — |
Total under 38.5 | — | — | — | 13% | — |
Total over 68.5 | 2% | — | — | 22% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 12% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 23.5 | 12% | — | — | 100% | — |
Total over 74.5 | 4% | — | — | 20% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread minus 2.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Total under 36.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Total over 76.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Arkansas State Red Wolves | 1% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 9% |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 35.5 | 3% | — | — | 15% | — |
Total over 56.5 | 4% | — | 49% | 9% | — |
Total over 58.5 | 4% | — | — | 13% | — |
Total over 54.5 | 3% | — | — | 1% | — |
Arkansas St. wins by over 1.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 41.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 53.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 55.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 57.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 59.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 65.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 71.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 77.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 2.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 27.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 30.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 33.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 41.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 5.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 6.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TCU wins the Arkansas St. vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigTCU Horned Frogs in Arkansas State @ TCU (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and TCU, scheduled for September 19 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Arkansas State vs TCU College Football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are TCU Horned Frogs: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.8¢ on Polymarket, 91.1¢ on ProphetX, 13.0¢ on Polymarket US, 91.0¢ on Novig; Arkansas State Red Wolves: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US, 9.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 86.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, TCU Horned Frogs at 78.3¢ implies about a 78.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.