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Live prediction market odds for New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC

MLS·2026-10-10

Best price · tap to trade

Chicago Fire FC58¢1.72xKalshiNew York City FC25¢4.00xKalshiDraw26¢3.85xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Chicago Fire FC about a 54.0% chance. New York City FC follows at 24.3% and Draw follows at 22.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Chicago Fire FC about a 54.0% chance. New York City FC follows at 24.3% and Draw follows at 22.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Major League Soccer game scheduled for 2026-10-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CF
Chicago Fire FC
54%
Kalshi58¢
Polymarket59¢
Kalshi1.72x58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
53.5%49¢58¢42¢51¢
PolymarketPolymarket
54.5%50¢59¢41¢50¢
NY
New York City FC
24%
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket28¢
Kalshi4.00x25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
25.0%18¢25¢75¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%19¢28¢72¢81¢
D
Draw
23%
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket27¢
Kalshi3.85x26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%20¢26¢74¢80¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.5%19¢27¢73¢81¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Chicago Fire FC

54.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie is the result of the Chicago Fire vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago Fire vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC odds?

The latest available prices are Chicago Fire FC: 53.5¢ on Kalshi, 54.5¢ on Polymarket; New York City FC: 25.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.5¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 23.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago Fire FC at 54.0¢ implies about a 54.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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