James Madison Dukes vs. App… Prediction - Madison Dukes 61¢

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Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Best price

AS

App State Mountaineers

39%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	38.5%	38¢	39¢	61¢	62¢
Polymarket US	38.8%	39¢	39¢	61¢	62¢
Novig	38.8%	39¢	39¢	61¢	62¢
Polymarket	38.5%	38¢	39¢	61¢	62¢
ProphetX	39.4%	39¢	40¢	60¢	61¢

JM

James Madison Dukes

61%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	61.5%	61¢	62¢	38¢	39¢
Polymarket US	61.3%	61¢	62¢	39¢	39¢
Novig	61.3%	61¢	62¢	39¢	39¢
Polymarket	61.5%	61¢	62¢	38¢	39¢
ProphetX	60.6%	60¢	61¢	39¢	40¢

Kalshi

Polymarket US Novig

Novig

Polymarket

ProphetX

Spread

$1.1M VolBest price

APP +2.5

JMU -2.5

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

$556K VolBest price

O 73.5

U 73.5

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Appalachian St. wins the James Madison vs Appalachian St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Novig

Primary Rule

App State Mountaineers in James Madison @ Appalachian State (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and Appalachian State, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the James Madison vs Appalachian State College Football game scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the James Madison Dukes vs. App State Mountaineers prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest James Madison Dukes vs. App State Mountaineers odds?

The latest available prices are James Madison Dukes: 61.5¢ on Kalshi, 61.5¢ on Polymarket, 60.6¢ on ProphetX, 61.3¢ on Polymarket US, 61.3¢ on Novig; App State Mountaineers: 38.5¢ on Kalshi, 38.5¢ on Polymarket, 39.4¢ on ProphetX, 38.8¢ on Polymarket US, 38.8¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do James Madison Dukes vs. App State Mountaineers odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do James Madison Dukes vs. App State Mountaineers prediction market payouts work?

For example, James Madison Dukes at 61.2¢ implies about a 61.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.