Traders give Bret Bielema about a 95.0% chance. Eli Drinkwitz follows at 95.0%, Josh Heupel follows at 95.0%, and Steve Sarkisian follows at 95.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Bret Bielema about a 95.0% chance. Eli Drinkwitz follows at 95.0%, Josh Heupel follows at 95.0%, and Steve Sarkisian follows at 95.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi is tracking the event of College Football Coaches Out Before February. This market resolves based on whether any college football head coaches are dismissed or resign before February 1, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on coaching performance and team outcomes throughout the season.
Steve Sarkisian is the head football coach at the University of Texas at Austin. He led the Longhorns to their first Big 12 Championship since 2009 and their first College Football Playoff appearance in 2023. Sarkisian's leadership has revitalized the Texas football program, earning him a four-year contract extension through 2030.
About Luke Fickell
Luke Fickell is the head football coach at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He previously served as head coach at the University of Cincinnati from 2017 to 2022, leading the Bearcats to a College Football Playoff appearance in 2021. Fickell's extensive coaching experience includes various roles at Ohio State University, where he was co-defensive coordinator and interim head coach.
About Mario Cristobal
Mario Cristobal is the head football coach at the University of Miami. He previously served as head coach at Florida International University and the University of Oregon. Cristobal is recognized for his exceptional recruiting skills, having been named National Recruiter of the Year in 2015.
About Deion Sanders
Deion Sanders is the head football coach at the University of Colorado Boulder. He previously served as head coach at Jackson State University from 2020 to 2022. Sanders is renowned for his dual-sport professional career, playing both in the NFL and MLB, and is the only athlete to have appeared in both a Super Bowl and a World Series.
About Kalen DeBoer
Kalen DeBoer is the head football coach at the University of Alabama. He led Washington to a 14-1 record in 2023, including a College Football Playoff National Championship appearance. DeBoer has a 20-8 record over two seasons at Alabama, with a contract extension through January 2033.
About Lane Kiffin
Lane Kiffin is the head coach of the LSU Tigers football team. He previously served as head coach at Ole Miss, where he led the team to 55 wins over six seasons. Kiffin is recognized for his offensive expertise and has a proven track record in college football coaching.
About Dave Aranda
Dave Aranda is the head football coach at Baylor University. He led the team to a Big 12 Championship in 2021. Aranda is recognized for his defensive expertise and has been instrumental in developing NFL-caliber players.
About Jedd Fisch
Jedd Fisch is the head football coach at the University of Washington. He previously served as head coach at the University of Arizona, leading the Wildcats to a 10-3 record in 2023. Fisch has extensive coaching experience in both the NFL and college football, including stints with the New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams.
About Mike Elko
Mike Elko is the head football coach at Texas A&M University. He previously served as head coach at Duke University, earning ACC Coach of the Year honors in 2022. Elko is recognized as one of the top defensive minds in college football.
About Mike Norvell
Mike Norvell is the head football coach at Florida State University. He led Memphis to an American Athletic Conference championship in 2019. Norvell's offenses have averaged 34.6 points per game over his 10-year head coaching career.
About Bill Belichick
Bill Belichick is the head coach of the North Carolina Tar Heels football team. He led the New England Patriots to six Super Bowl victories over 24 seasons. His extensive coaching experience and success in the NFL make him a significant figure in college football.
About Kyle Whittingham
Kyle Whittingham is the head football coach at the University of Michigan. He led the University of Utah to a school-record 177 wins over 21 seasons. Whittingham is recognized for building and sustaining championship-caliber teams.
About Dabo Swinney
Dabo Swinney is the head coach of the Clemson Tigers football team. He led Clemson to national championships in 2016 and 2018. Swinney is the winningest coach in both Clemson and Atlantic Coast Conference history.
About Brent Venables
Brent Venables is the head football coach at the University of Oklahoma. He previously served as the associate head coach, defensive coordinator, and linebackers coach at Clemson University from 2012 to 2021. Venables has coached in eight national championship games, winning titles with Oklahoma in 2000 and Clemson in 2016 and 2018.
About Marcus Freeman
Marcus Freeman is the head football coach at the University of Notre Dame. He previously served as the defensive coordinator and linebackers coach at Notre Dame in 2021. Freeman is recognized for transforming the Bearcats into one of the best defenses in the American Athletic Conference during his tenure at Cincinnati.
About Matt Campbell
Matt Campbell is the head football coach at Penn State University. He previously served as head coach at Iowa State University from 2016 to 2025. Campbell is recognized for his leadership and success in college football.
About Pete Golding
Pete Golding is the head football coach at the University of Mississippi (Ole Miss). He previously served as the defensive coordinator and inside linebackers coach at Ole Miss from 2023 to 2025. Golding has a strong track record in defensive coaching, having led top-20 scoring defenses at Alabama from 2018 to 2022 and guiding Ole Miss to a school-record pass rush in 2024.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: College Football Coaches Out Before February
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If the head coach of the Houston college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Houston college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Feb 1, 2027.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
A coach is considered 'out' if they are officially dismissed or resign from their position. This includes any announcements made by the college or university.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves on February 1, 2027. Any coaching changes must occur before this date for the market to be affected.
What factors influence the odds in this market?
Odds are influenced by team performance, media speculation, and any reports of dissatisfaction within the coaching staff. Significant losses or controversies may lead to increased likelihood of coaching changes.
What does the College Football Coaches Out Before February prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest College Football Coaches Out Before February odds?
The latest available prices are Bret Bielema: 95.0¢ on Kalshi; Eli Drinkwitz: 95.0¢ on Kalshi; Josh Heupel: 95.0¢ on Kalshi; Steve Sarkisian: 95.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
