Traders give Michael Carrick about a 79.5% chance. Oliver Glasner follows at 64.0%, Régis Le Bris follows at 63.0%, and Pierre Sage follows at 61.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Michael Carrick about a 79.5% chance. Oliver Glasner follows at 64.0%, Régis Le Bris follows at 63.0%, and Pierre Sage follows at 61.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi is tracking the event of EPL managers being out before 2027. This market resolves based on whether any Premier League manager is dismissed before January 1, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on team performance and managerial changes throughout the season.
Michael Carrick is the head coach of Manchester United. He had a distinguished playing career as a midfielder with the club, making 463 appearances and winning multiple major honors. His extensive experience and leadership qualities make him a significant figure in English football.
About Oliver Glasner
Oliver Glasner is the current manager of Nottingham Forest in the English Premier League. He previously managed Crystal Palace, leading them to their first major trophy, the FA Cup, in the 2024–25 season. Glasner's extensive experience includes managing VfL Wolfsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, where he won the UEFA Europa League in 2022.
About Unai Emery
Unai Emery is the head coach of Premier League club Aston Villa. He led Sevilla to three consecutive UEFA Europa League titles from 2014 to 2016. His expertise in European competitions and leadership in transforming teams make him a key figure in this prediction market.
About Matthias Jaissle
Matthias Jaissle is the current manager of Newcastle United in the English Premier League. He previously managed Al-Ahli in the Saudi Pro League, leading them to consecutive AFC Champions League Elite titles. Jaissle is recognized for his adaptable tactical approach and has a proven track record in European football.
About Roberto De Zerbi
Roberto De Zerbi is the head coach of Tottenham Hotspur. He previously managed Brighton & Hove Albion, leading them to their highest-ever Premier League finish and first European qualification. De Zerbi is renowned for his progressive, possession-based coaching style.
About Gary O'Neil
Gary O'Neil is the current manager of Ipswich Town. He previously managed Wolverhampton Wanderers from August 2023 to December 2024. O'Neil has a track record of managing Premier League clubs, including AFC Bournemouth and Wolverhampton Wanderers.
About Enzo Maresca
Enzo Maresca is the current manager of Manchester City, appointed in June 2026. He previously managed Chelsea from July 2024 to January 2026, leading them to win the UEFA Conference League and the FIFA Club World Cup. Maresca's extensive coaching experience includes assistant roles at Manchester City and a managerial position at Leicester City, where he secured promotion to the Premier League in 2024.
About Álvaro Arbeloa
Álvaro Arbeloa is the head coach of Real Madrid. He played for Real Madrid from 2009 to 2016, winning eight major titles. He has been coaching in Real Madrid's youth academy since 2020, achieving significant success with the Juvenil A team.
About Xabi Alonso
Xabi Alonso is the current manager of Chelsea Football Club, having joined on July 1, 2026. He previously managed Real Madrid from June 2025 to January 2026, and Bayer Leverkusen from October 2022 to May 2025, where he led the team to their first Bundesliga title in the 2023-24 season. Alonso's extensive experience as a player and manager, including leading Bayer Leverkusen to historic achievements, underscores his qualifications for this role.
About Marco Rose
Marco Rose is the head coach of AFC Bournemouth, appointed in April 2026. He previously managed RB Leipzig, Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Mönchengladbach, and Red Bull Salzburg, winning the DFB-Pokal with Leipzig in 2023. Rose is recognized for his high-pressing, attacking style of play and has developed players like Erling Haaland and Jude Bellingham.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: EPL: Managers out before 2027
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Xabi Alonso ceases to be the manager of Chelsea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves based on the effective date of departure, which may be different from submission or announcement dates.
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The market resolves if any Premier League manager is dismissed before January 1, 2027. Dismissals can occur due to poor performance or other factors affecting team management.
How do team performances affect the odds?
Odds are influenced by the performance of teams, with underperforming teams more likely to dismiss their managers. Media speculation and fan sentiment also play a role in shifting the odds.
What is the timeframe for this event?
The event has a resolution date set for January 1, 2027. Any managerial changes prior to this date will impact the market's outcome.
What does the EPL: Managers out before 2027 prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest EPL: Managers out before 2027 odds?
The latest available prices are Michael Carrick: 79.5¢ on Kalshi; Oliver Glasner: 64.0¢ on Kalshi; Régis Le Bris: 63.0¢ on Kalshi; Pierre Sage: 61.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
