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Live prediction market odds for Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova

ITF Men · Game starts Oct 22, 2026 · Listed Oct 22, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Matthew Dellavedova71¢1.41xKalshiNaoki Nakagawa30¢3.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Matthew Dellavedova about a 70.3% chance. Naoki Nakagawa follows at 29.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Matthew Dellavedova about a 70.3% chance. Naoki Nakagawa follows at 29.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova: ITF Men's World Tennis Tour match scheduled for 2026-10-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MD
Matthew Dellavedova
70%
Kalshi71¢
Polymarket US71¢
Polymarket73¢
Kalshi1.41x71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
70.5%70¢71¢29¢30¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
70.5%70¢71¢29¢30¢
PolymarketPolymarket
70.0%67¢73¢27¢33¢
NN
Naoki Nakagawa
30%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket US30¢
Polymarket33¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
30.0%27¢33¢67¢73¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Volume$371K
Leader

Matthew Dellavedova

70.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Matthew Dellavedova vs Naoki Nakagawa ITF match scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:45AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match, the market will settle to the official winner of the match. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova odds?

The latest available prices are Matthew Dellavedova: 70.5¢ on Kalshi, 70.0¢ on Polymarket, 70.5¢ on Polymarket US; Naoki Nakagawa: 29.5¢ on Kalshi, 30.0¢ on Polymarket, 29.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Naoki Nakagawa vs. Matthew Dellavedova prediction market payouts work?

For example, Matthew Dellavedova at 70.3¢ implies about a 70.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds
Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Matthew Dellavedova

Smart Money Consensus$12.3K
$12.3KMatthew Dellavedova
Smart Traders Split4
4Matthew Dellavedova
KalshiBuy Yes at 71¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Matthew DellavedovaBought $12.3K · 4 wallets

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $22.1K lifetime bought $9.9K of Matthew Dellavedova at 66¢

8h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM25 Tamworth: Matthew Dellavedova vs Naoki NakagawaTrade on Polymarket US →