Live prediction market odds for Belle Thompson vs. Ashleigh Simes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.
Belle Thompson vs. Ashleigh Simes
ITF Women·2026-09-30
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for Belle Thompson vs. Ashleigh Simes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.
ITF Women·2026-09-30
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Belle Thompson about a 58.3% chance. Ashleigh Simes follows at 40.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.
Traders give Belle Thompson about a 58.3% chance. Ashleigh Simes follows at 40.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.
Belle Thompson vs. Ashleigh Simes: ITF Women's World Tennis Tour match scheduled for 2026-09-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.
Kalshi
Polymarket US
PolymarketKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Belle Thompson
58.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Ashleigh Simes vs Belle Thompson ITF match scheduled for Sep 30, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Belle Thompson: 58.5¢ on Kalshi, 60.5¢ on Polymarket, 56.0¢ on Polymarket US; Ashleigh Simes: 41.5¢ on Kalshi, 39.5¢ on Polymarket, 39.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Belle Thompson at 58.3¢ implies about a 58.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.