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Live prediction market odds for EPL Golden Boot. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US

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EPL Golden Boot

2027-05-30

Best price · tap to trade

Alexander Isak3¢33.33xPolymarket USJoao Pedro9¢11.11xKalshiCole Palmer2¢50.00xPolymarket US
Compare all 31 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Alexander Isak about a 8.3% chance. Joao Pedro follows at 7.8%, Cole Palmer follows at 2.5%, and Kai Havertz follows at 2.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.5 percentage points.

Traders give Alexander Isak about a 8.3% chance. Joao Pedro follows at 7.8%, Cole Palmer follows at 2.5%, and Kai Havertz follows at 2.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.5 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the EPL Golden Boot race for the 2026-2027 season. This competition highlights the top goal scorers in the league, influencing player valuations and team strategies as clubs vie for top positions.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
AI
Alexander IsakARB
8%
Kalshi17¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket US33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%14¢17¢83¢86¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
JP
Joao Pedro
8%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US11¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%2¢9¢91¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
10.0%10¢11¢89¢90¢
CP
Cole Palmer
3%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%1¢5¢95¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KH
Kai Havertz
3%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%1¢4¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
BF
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Candidate Spotlight

About Alexander Isak

Alexander Isak is a Swedish professional footballer who plays as a striker for Liverpool FC and the Sweden national team. He transferred to Liverpool in September 2025 for a British-record £125 million, following a prolific period at Newcastle United. Isak has scored 62 goals in 109 Premier League appearances, establishing himself as one of the league's top forwards.

About Joao Pedro

João Pedro is a Brazilian professional footballer who currently plays as a forward for Chelsea Football Club. He began his career at Fluminense, where he scored 10 goals in 36 appearances before moving to Watford in 2020. Known for his goal-scoring ability and versatility, he has been a key player in the Premier League, contributing significantly to his team's offensive performance.

About Cole Palmer

Cole Palmer is an English professional footballer who plays as an attacking midfielder or winger for Chelsea and the England national team. He began his career at Manchester City, contributing to their 2023 continental treble, before joining Chelsea in 2023 for £40 million. Palmer's exceptional dribbling and passing skills have established him as one of the world's top attacking midfielders.

About Kai Havertz

Kai Havertz is a German professional footballer who currently plays as a forward for Arsenal F.C. in the Premier League. Before joining Arsenal in July 2023, he played for Chelsea F.C., where he won the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League. Havertz's versatility and technical skills have established him as a key player in both club and international football.

About Igor Thiago

Igor Thiago is a Brazilian professional footballer who plays as a striker for Brentford and the Brazil national team. He began his career with Cruzeiro, making his professional debut in 2020, and later played for Ludogorets Razgrad and Club Brugge before joining Brentford in 2024. Thiago's impressive performances in the Premier League have established him as a leading goal scorer and a key player for both his club and country.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread11.5%
Platforms2
Candidates31
Leader

Alexander Isak

8.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: EPL Golden Boot

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Igor Thiago leads EPL in goals for the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Igor Thiago must have the highest total goals across the entire regular season as documented by the official league statistics. If Igor Thiago competes for multiple teams within the league during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. If Igor Thiago does not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. If multiple players finish tied for the most goals and the league does not officially declare a single leader through a tiebreaker, the market will resolve as a dead heat. "Yes" Contracts on each tied player will pay an equal share of $1. For example, if two players tie, each "Yes" Contract pays $0.50. If three players tie, each "Yes" Contract pays approximately $0.33. No contracts pay $1 minus the Yes payout. If the league officially uses a tiebreaker to determine a single top goalscorer, the market resolves based on the league's official winner. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Igor Thiago leads the Premier League in goals for the 2026-2027 season. If Igor Thiago ties with one or more other players for the most goals, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. Outcome sourced from Premier League.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the EPL Golden Boot?

Player performance, injuries, and team dynamics are key factors. Additionally, match schedules and the competitiveness of the league can impact scoring opportunities.

How does the EPL Golden Boot affect player transfers?

A strong performance in the Golden Boot race can enhance a player's market value. Clubs often seek top scorers to strengthen their squads, leading to potential transfer negotiations.

When does the EPL Golden Boot race conclude?

The race for the EPL Golden Boot concludes at the end of the Premier League season, typically in May. The final standings can influence end-of-season awards and recognition.

What does the EPL Golden Boot prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest EPL Golden Boot odds?

The latest available prices are Alexander Isak: 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US; Joao Pedro: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cole Palmer: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Kai Havertz: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

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Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

France vs Sweden: Goalscorer

Resolved

2026-07-01

LOSTAlexander Isak
Pre-event: 0%

UEFA Champions League Golden Boot

Resolved

2026-05-30

LOSTCole Palmer
Pre-event: 50%

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Resolved

2026-06-25

LOSTKai Havertz
Pre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

UEFA Champions League Golden BootLOSTPre-event: 50%

Prediction Market Track Record

Ecuador vs Germany: GoalscorerLOSTPre-event: 0%