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Live prediction market odds for Kevin Durant: Retirement. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

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Kevin Durant: Retirement

Listed Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Expected to settle by Nov 15, 2029

Best price · tap to trade

Before the 2029-30 season47¢2.13xKalshiBefore the 2028-29 season31¢3.23xKalshiBefore the 2027-28 season10¢10.00xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Before the 2029-30 season about a 43.5% chance. Before the 2028-29 season follows at 27.0% and Before the 2027-28 season follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Before the 2029-30 season about a 43.5% chance. Before the 2028-29 season follows at 27.0% and Before the 2027-28 season follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the retirement of Kevin Durant, with the market resolving on November 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by whether Durant officially announces his retirement from professional basketball before this date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
BT
Before the 2029-30 season
single venue44%
Kalshi47¢
Kalshi2.13x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
43.5%40¢47¢53¢60¢
BT
Before the 2028-29 season
single venue27%
Kalshi31¢
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%23¢31¢69¢77¢
BT
Before the 2027-28 season
single venue6%
Kalshi10¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%2¢10¢90¢98¢
Before the 2026-27 seasonNo
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Before the 2029-30 season

Kevin Durant is a professional basketball player for the Houston Rockets. He has won two NBA championships and was named Finals MVP twice. Durant is among the top five all-time leading scorers in NBA history.

About Before the 2028-29 season

Kevin Durant is a professional basketball player for the Houston Rockets. He has won two NBA championships and was named Finals MVP twice. Durant is among the top five all-time leading scorers in NBA history.

About Before the 2027-28 season

Kevin Durant is a professional basketball player for the Houston Rockets. He was traded to the Rockets in July 2025 after playing for the Phoenix Suns. Durant is a two-time NBA champion and has been selected to 16 All-Star teams.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Volume$360
Leader

Before the 2029-30 season

43.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kevin Durant: Retirement

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kevin Durant announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2029-30 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What date does the market resolve for Kevin Durant's retirement?

The market resolves on November 15, 2026. This is the deadline for Durant to announce his retirement.

How will the market determine if Durant has retired?

The market will resolve based on an official announcement from Kevin Durant regarding his retirement from professional basketball. Any public statement or action indicating his retirement will influence the outcome.

What platforms are tracking this event?

Kalshi is the only platform currently tracking the retirement of Kevin Durant. No other platforms are involved in this specific market.

What does the Kevin Durant: Retirement prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Kevin Durant: Retirement odds?

The latest available prices are Before the 2029-30 season: 43.5¢ on Kalshi; Before the 2028-29 season: 27.0¢ on Kalshi; Before the 2027-28 season: 6.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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