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Live prediction market odds for LeBron James: Retirement. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi

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LeBron James: Retirement

Listed Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Nov 15, 2029

Best price · tap to trade

Before the 2029-30 season93¢1.08xKalshiBefore the 2028-29 season83¢1.20xKalshiBefore the 2027-28 season43¢2.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Before the 2029-30 season about a 89.5% chance. Before the 2028-29 season follows at 79.0% and Before the 2027-28 season follows at 41.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Before the 2029-30 season about a 89.5% chance. Before the 2028-29 season follows at 79.0% and Before the 2027-28 season follows at 41.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the retirement of LeBron James, with resolution set for November 15, 2027. The market will resolve based on whether he officially announces his retirement before this date, impacting odds as speculation and news evolve.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
BT
Before the 2029-30 season
single venue90%
Kalshi93¢
Kalshi1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
89.5%86¢93¢7¢14¢
BT
Before the 2028-29 season
single venue79%
Kalshi83¢
Kalshi1.20x83¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
79.0%75¢83¢17¢25¢
BT
Before the 2027-28 season
single venue42%
Kalshi43¢
Kalshi2.33x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
41.5%40¢43¢57¢60¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Before the 2029-30 season

LeBron James is a professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers. He has won four NBA championships and been named NBA Finals MVP four times. He is considered one of the greatest basketball players in history.

About Before the 2028-29 season

LeBron James is a professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers. He became the NBA's all-time leading scorer in February 2023. James is renowned for his exceptional versatility and leadership on the court.

About Before the 2027-28 season

LeBron James is a professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers. He became the NBA's all-time leading scorer in February 2023. James' extensive experience and leadership make him a key figure in the Lakers' lineup.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates3
Volume$10K
Leader

Before the 2029-30 season

89.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: LeBron James: Retirement

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2029-30 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What date does the market resolve for LeBron James' retirement?

The market resolves on November 15, 2027. This date is when an official announcement regarding his retirement is expected.

What factors influence the odds for this market?

Odds are influenced by news reports, LeBron's performance, and any statements he makes regarding his future in basketball. Speculation around his retirement plans can also impact market movements.

How does this market determine retirement status?

The market will determine retirement status based on an official announcement made by LeBron James. If he announces his retirement before the resolution date, the market will resolve accordingly.

What does the LeBron James: Retirement prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest LeBron James: Retirement odds?

The latest available prices are Before the 2029-30 season: 89.5¢ on Kalshi; Before the 2028-29 season: 79.0¢ on Kalshi; Before the 2027-28 season: 41.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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