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Live prediction market odds for Next Prime Minister of Serbia?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Polymarket / Predict.fun

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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Listed Oct 20, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Aleksandar Vučić73¢1.37xPredict.funIlija Srdanović14¢7.14xPolymarketVladan Đokić5¢20.00xPolymarket
Compare all 7 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Aleksandar Vučić about a 71.6% chance. Ilija Srdanović follows at 12.8%, Vladan Đokić follows at 3.8%, and Ana Brnabić follows at 1.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give Aleksandar Vučić about a 71.6% chance. Ilija Srdanović follows at 12.8%, Vladan Đokić follows at 3.8%, and Ana Brnabić follows at 1.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Predictfun are tracking the next Prime Minister of Serbia. The outcome will be determined by the results of the parliamentary elections, with odds fluctuating based on party popularity and candidate announcements leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
AV
Aleksandar Vučić
72%
Polymarket73¢
Predict.fun73¢
Predict.fun1.38x73¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
72.1%71¢73¢27¢29¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
71.2%70¢73¢27¢30¢
IS
Ilija Srdanović
13%
Polymarket14¢
Predict.fun14¢
Polymarket7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
12.5%11¢14¢86¢89¢
VĐ
Vladan Đokić
single venue4%
Polymarket5¢
—
Polymarket18.87x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
3.8%2¢5¢95¢98¢
AB
Ana Brnabić
single venue1%
Polymarket2¢
—
Polymarket50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.3%0.6¢2¢98¢99.4¢
SK
Stefan Krkobabić
single venue0.65%
Polymarket0.7¢
—
Polymarket142.86x0.7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.6%0.6¢0.7¢99.3¢99.4¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Candidate Spotlight

About Aleksandar Vučić

Aleksandar Vučić is the former President of Serbia, having served from 2017 to 2026. He resigned from the presidency on September 27, 2026, to run for Prime Minister in the upcoming parliamentary elections. Vučić has been a central figure in Serbian politics for over a decade, leading the Serbian Progressive Party and holding various governmental positions.

About Ana Brnabić

Ana Brnabić is the Acting President of Serbia and the President of the National Assembly. She served as Prime Minister from 2017 to 2024, becoming the first woman and openly gay person to hold the position in Serbia. Her extensive experience in government leadership and her role in the Serbian Progressive Party make her a significant figure in Serbian politics.

About Stefan Krkobabić

Stefan Krkobabić is a Serbian politician and current member of the National Assembly of Serbia, representing the Party of United Pensioners of Serbia (PUPS). He previously served as acting director of the Public Company for the Development of Mountain Tourism 'Stara planina' in 2019. As president of the PUPS parliamentary group, he advocates for social welfare initiatives, including the introduction of a guaranteed social 'pension' for citizens over 65 without sufficient work history.

About Ivica Dačić

Ivica Dačić is the Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of the Interior of Serbia. He served as Prime Minister from July 2012 to April 2014 and as Minister of Foreign Affairs from April 2014 to October 2020. As leader of the Socialist Party of Serbia since 2006, he has been a prominent figure in Serbian politics.

About Dragan Đilas

Dragan Đilas is the president of the Party of Freedom and Justice (SSP) and a member of the National Assembly of Serbia. He served as the mayor of Belgrade from 2008 to 2013 and was president of the Democratic Party from 2012 to 2014. Đilas has been a prominent figure in Serbian politics, advocating for reforms and European integration.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

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Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates7
Volume$699K
Leader

Aleksandar Vučić

71.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Odds are influenced by party popularity, candidate announcements, and public opinion polls leading up to the elections. Significant political events or controversies can also impact market sentiment.

How is the winner of the Prime Minister market determined?

The market resolves based on the official election results from the parliamentary elections. The candidate who secures the most votes and is appointed Prime Minister will determine the market outcome.

When does trading close for this event?

Scheduled trading close is set for October 25, 2026. This deadline marks the end of trading, but the actual election results may be announced shortly after.

What does the Next Prime Minister of Serbia prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Next Prime Minister of Serbia odds?

The latest available prices are Aleksandar Vučić: 72.1¢ on Polymarket, 71.2¢ on Predict.fun; Ilija Srdanović: 13.0¢ on Polymarket, 12.5¢ on Predict.fun; Vladan Đokić: 3.8¢ on Polymarket; Ana Brnabić: 1.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds
Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Aleksandar Vučić

Smart Money Consensus$21.0K
$19.1KAleksandar Vučić$1.9KOther side
Smart Traders Split14
12Aleksandar Vučić2Other side
Predict.funBuy Yes at 73¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Aleksandar VučićLeans Yes $17.2K

Bought $19.1K of Yes · bought $1.9K of No

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.