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Live prediction market odds for Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader. Compare prices across .

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader

2026-10-11

About This Market

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: current odds are unavailable.

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: current odds are unavailable.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader title. This event is pivotal as it highlights individual player performances and can influence team strategies and fan engagement as the season progresses.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

0 platforms
Aaron JudgeNo
Ben RiceNo
Bobby Witt JrNo
Brandon LoweNo
Brent RookerNo

Candidate Spotlight

About Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge is the captain of the New York Yankees. He has been with the Yankees since 2016, earning two American League Most Valuable Player awards. Judge is recognized for his exceptional power-hitting abilities, consistently ranking among the league's top home run leaders.

About Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber is a left fielder and designated hitter for the Philadelphia Phillies. He led the National League with 56 home runs and 132 RBIs in 2025, finishing second in NL MVP voting. Schwarber's powerful hitting and consistent performance make him a key contender in the Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader category.

About Munetaka Murakami

Munetaka Murakami is a professional baseball player for the Chicago White Sox. He previously played for the Tokyo Yakult Swallows, where he set a Japanese record with 56 home runs in a single season. Murakami is renowned for his exceptional power-hitting abilities, making him a formidable presence in the lineup.

About Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani is a professional baseball player for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He previously played for the Los Angeles Angels, where he was a two-way player, excelling both as a pitcher and a hitter. Ohtani's exceptional performance has established him as one of the most versatile and accomplished players in Major League Baseball.

About Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Álvarez is a designated hitter and left fielder for the Houston Astros. He was named the American League Rookie of the Year in 2019 after leading all rookies with a .655 slugging percentage. Álvarez has been a key contributor to the Astros' offense, earning three All-Star selections and a World Series championship.

Resolution Oracles

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Candidates37
Leader

Aaron Judge

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kyle Schwarber leads Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Home Runs Leader?

Player performance, injuries, and team dynamics are key factors that influence the odds. Additionally, historical statistics and current season trends play a significant role.

How do prediction markets reflect player performance?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who bet on outcomes, thus reflecting collective expectations about player performance. As players hit home runs or face challenges, odds can fluctuate accordingly.

Why is the Home Runs Leader title significant in baseball?

The Home Runs Leader title is a prestigious accolade that showcases a player's power-hitting ability. It can enhance a player's marketability and impact contract negotiations and fan support.

What does the Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader odds?

No current prices are available on this page.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Pro Baseball RBIs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 2%Pro Baseball Batting Average LeaderLOSTPre-event: 1%Pro Baseball Triples LeaderLOSTPre-event: 4%Pro Baseball Runs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 1%Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

Pro Baseball RBIs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 2%Pro Baseball Runs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 4%
Philadelphia vs Kansas City: Home RunsLOSTPre-event: 0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds (7:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers (6:40 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

Pro Baseball RBIs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 4%Pro Baseball Runs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 6%
Home Run Derby WinnerLOSTPre-event: 0%
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Pro Baseball RBIs Leader

Resolved

2026-09-28

LOSTShohei Ohtani
Pre-event: 1%

Pro Baseball Batting Average Leader

Resolved

2026-09-28

LOSTShohei Ohtani
Pre-event: 5%

Pro Baseball Triples Leader

Resolved

2026-09-28

LOSTShohei Ohtani
Pre-event: 5%

Pro Baseball Runs Leader

Resolved

2026-09-28

LOSTMunetaka Murakami
Pre-event: 6%

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-09-08

LOSTAaron Judge
Pre-event: 0%

Philadelphia vs Kansas City: Home Runs

Resolved

2026-07-06

LOSTKyle Schwarber
Pre-event: 0%

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds (7:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-09

LOSTKyle Schwarber
Pre-event: 0%

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers (6:40 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-10

LOSTKyle Schwarber
Pre-event: 0%

Home Run Derby Winner

Resolved

2026-07-13

LOSTMunetaka Murakami
Pre-event: 0%

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-19

LOSTMunetaka Murakami
Pre-event: 0%

New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-21

LOSTMunetaka Murakami
Pre-event: 0%

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025

Resolved

2025-12-31

LOSTShohei Ohtani
Pre-event: 3%

Pro Baseball Steals Leader

Resolved

2026-09-28

LOSTShohei Ohtani
Pre-event: 1%

Prediction Market Track Record

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025LOSTPre-event: 3%
Pro Baseball Steals LeaderLOSTPre-event: 1%Pro Baseball RBIs LeaderLOSTPre-event: 1%Pro Baseball Batting Average LeaderLOSTPre-event: 5%Pro Baseball Triples LeaderLOSTPre-event: 5%

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Schwarber Hits 43 Home Runs, Jumps to 69% to Win the 2026 TitleHis probability rose 11 points in three days as Crow-Armstrong, two back at 41, failed to close the gap during Schwarber's Phillies homestand.Sep 9, 2026Schwarber at 64%: 42 Homers and Five Weeks Left Narrow the FieldThe calendar is doing most of the work. Any challenger now needs roughly twice Schwarber's season pace over 25 to 28 games to close a six-homer gap.Sep 7, 2026Schwarber's Home Run Title Odds Fall 8 Points as Challenger Closes GapSchwarber's prediction market probability dropped from 64% to 56% in three days despite his 40-homer lead, with Yordan Alvarez emerging as the primary threat.Sep 4, 2026Matt Olson's HR Title Odds Fall to 8% as Schwarber and Alvarez CloseRivals are gaining on Olson's 37-HR lead with 35 games left. His title probability dropped nine points in three days, the steepest single-week move of the race.Aug 31, 2026