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Live prediction market odds for Bundesliga Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US

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Bundesliga Relegation

2027-07-01

Best price · tap to trade

Elversberg22¢4.55xPolymarket USBorussia Mönchengladbach27¢3.70xPolymarket USBV Borussia 09 Dortmund10¢10.00xPolymarket US
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Elversberg about a 25.5% chance. Borussia Mönchengladbach follows at 23.0%, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund follows at 8.3%, and Bayern Munich follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.0 percentage points.

Traders give Elversberg about a 25.5% chance. Borussia Mönchengladbach follows at 23.0%, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund follows at 8.3%, and Bayern Munich follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.0 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Bundesliga Relegation event. The market resolves based on the final standings of the Bundesliga at the end of the 2026-2027 season, specifically which teams are relegated by July 1, 2027.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
E
Elversberg
26%
Kalshi59¢
Polymarket US22¢
Polymarket US4.55x22¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%0¢59¢41¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
21.5%21¢22¢78¢79¢
BM
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US27¢
Polymarket US3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
20.0%3¢99¢1¢97¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
26.0%26¢27¢73¢74¢
BB
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
8%
Kalshi13¢
Polymarket US10¢
Polymarket US10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%0¢13¢87¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
10.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
BM
Bayern Munich
5%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket US20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%4¢7¢93¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
F
Freiburg
2%
Kalshi45¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket US20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢45¢55¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread8.0%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

Elversberg

25.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Bundesliga Relegation

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Leverkusen is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Bayer 04 Leverkusen is relegated from the Bundesliga at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Outcome sourced from Bundesliga.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines which teams are relegated in the Bundesliga?

Relegation in the Bundesliga is determined by the final league standings at the end of the season. The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, while the team in 16th place enters a playoff against a team from the second division.

When does the Bundesliga season end?

The Bundesliga season typically concludes in late May. The exact date can vary slightly each year, but the final matchday is crucial for determining relegation outcomes.

How do prediction markets reflect changes in team performance?

Prediction markets adjust odds based on real-time information, such as match results, injuries, and team form. As teams perform better or worse, the odds for their relegation change accordingly.

What does the Bundesliga Relegation prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Bundesliga Relegation odds?

The latest available prices are Elversberg: 29.5¢ on Kalshi, 21.5¢ on Polymarket US; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 20.0¢ on Kalshi, 26.0¢ on Polymarket US; BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: 6.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US; Bayern Munich: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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