Live prediction market odds for Bundesliga Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Borussia Mönchengladbach about a 45.0% chance. FC Schalke 04 follows at 39.8%, Paderborn follows at 37.0%, and SC Paderborn 07 follows at 33.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 9.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket USKalshiPolymarket USOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Leverkusen is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Bayer 04 Leverkusen is relegated from the Bundesliga at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Outcome sourced from Bundesliga.
Relegation in the Bundesliga is determined by the final league standings at the end of the season. The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, while the team in 16th place enters a playoff against a team from the second division.
The Bundesliga season typically concludes in late May. The exact date can vary slightly each year, but the final matchday is crucial for determining relegation outcomes.
Prediction markets adjust odds based on real-time information, such as match results, injuries, and team form. As teams perform better or worse, the odds for their relegation change accordingly.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Borussia Mönchengladbach: 43.5¢ on Kalshi, 46.5¢ on Polymarket US; FC Schalke 04: 37.0¢ on Kalshi, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US; Paderborn: 37.0¢ on Kalshi; SC Paderborn 07: 33.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
