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Live prediction market odds for Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date

Listed Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jul 11, 2028

Best price · tap to trade

Out before Jul 10, 202854¢1.85xKalshiOut before Jun 1, 202845¢2.22xKalshiOut before Jan 1, 20288¢12.50xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Out before Jul 10, 2028 about a 50.0% chance. Out before Jun 1, 2028 follows at 41.5%, Out before Jan 1, 2028 follows at 7.5%, and Out before Jan 1, 2027 follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Out before Jul 10, 2028 about a 50.0% chance. Out before Jun 1, 2028 follows at 41.5%, Out before Jan 1, 2028 follows at 7.5%, and Out before Jan 1, 2027 follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the event of Thomas Tuchel being out by January 1, 2027. This market resolves based on whether Tuchel is no longer in his current position by the specified date, with odds fluctuating based on team performance and management decisions leading up to that time.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
OB
Out before Jul 10, 2028
single venue50%
Kalshi54¢
Kalshi1.85x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%46¢54¢46¢54¢
OB
Out before Jun 1, 2028
single venue42%
Kalshi45¢
Kalshi2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
41.5%38¢45¢55¢62¢
OB
Out before Jan 1, 2028
single venue8%
Kalshi8¢
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
OB
Out before Jan 1, 2027
single venue5%
Kalshi5¢
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Out before Jul 10, 2028

Thomas Tuchel is the current head coach of the England national football team. He previously managed Chelsea, Paris Saint-Germain, and Bayern Munich, winning multiple league titles and the UEFA Champions League. Tuchel's extensive experience and success in European football make him a significant figure in the sport.

About Out before Jun 1, 2028

Thomas Tuchel is the current manager of the England national football team, a position he has held since January 2025. Prior to this, he managed Bayern Munich from March 2023 to May 2024, leading them to a Bundesliga title. Tuchel's extensive experience in top European football, including stints at Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea, underscores his qualifications for leading the England team.

About Out before Jan 1, 2028

Thomas Tuchel is the head coach of the England national football team. He previously managed Chelsea, Paris Saint-Germain, and Bayern Munich, winning multiple league titles and the UEFA Champions League. Tuchel's extensive experience and success in European football make him a prominent figure in the sport.

About Out before Jan 1, 2027

Thomas Tuchel is the current head coach of the England national football team. He previously managed Chelsea, leading them to a UEFA Champions League title in 2021. Tuchel's extensive coaching experience and success at top European clubs make him a significant figure in international football.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Volume$13K
Leader

Out before Jul 10, 2028

50.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jun 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. All dates in this market are based on Eastern Time (ET). Thomas Tuchel must officially leave their position on or before 11:59:59 PM ET on the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does 'out by date' mean in this context?

Out by date refers to whether Thomas Tuchel will no longer hold his position by January 1, 2027. The market resolves based on his employment status on that specific date.

How do team performances affect the odds?

Odds may change based on the team's performance leading up to January 1, 2027. Poor results could increase the likelihood of a managerial change, impacting market prices.

What factors could lead to Tuchel's departure?

Factors influencing Tuchel's potential departure include team performance, management decisions, and any public statements regarding his future. Speculation around his job security can also affect market sentiment.

What does the Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date odds?

The latest available prices are Out before Jul 10, 2028: 50.0¢ on Kalshi; Out before Jun 1, 2028: 41.5¢ on Kalshi; Out before Jan 1, 2028: 7.5¢ on Kalshi; Out before Jan 1, 2027: 4.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

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